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Minnesota election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Minnesota's Senate, governor and House races. Democrats won the Senate race · Democrats won the governor race · House: 8 of 8 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 5.0. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Minnesota Senate race
Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 92% and Kalshi 91%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.
Minnesota governor race
Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 98% and Kalshi 97%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.
Minnesota House districts
8 of 8 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 5.0 of the priced seats; favoured in 5, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 3.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MN-01 | D 94% | D 94% | D 94% | Jake Johnson v Brad Finstad |
| MN-02 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| MN-03 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 96% | Kelly Morrison v Tyler Bass |
| MN-04 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 96% | Betty McCollum v Paul Wikstrom |
| MN-05 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 97% | Ilhan Omar v John Nagel |
| MN-06 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 7% | Doug Chapin v Tom Emmer |
| MN-07 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 5% | Erik Osberg v Michelle Fischbach |
| MN-08 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 17% | Trina Swanson v Pete Stauber |
Minnesota in the news
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.