Election odds › Florida
Florida election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Florida's Senate, governor and House races. Republicans won the Senate race · Republicans won the governor race · House: 28 of 28 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 8.5. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Florida Senate race
Settled: Republicans won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 14% and Kalshi –. Polymarket called it.
Kalshi
No market for this race.
Florida governor race
Settled: Republicans won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 36% and Kalshi 39%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.
Florida House districts
28 of 28 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 8.5 of the priced seats; favoured in 8, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 20.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FL-01 | R 95% | – | D 5% | Gay Valimont v Jimmy Patronis |
| FL-02 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 9% | Amanda Green v Austin Rogers |
| FL-03 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 5% | Seth Harp v Kat Cammack |
| FL-04 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 22% | LaShonda Holloway v Aaron Bean |
| FL-05 | R 97% | D 0% | D 7% | Rachel Grage v John Rutherford |
| FL-06 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 5% | Eric Yonce v Randy Fine |
| FL-07 | R 98% | D 3% | D 1% | Bale Dalton v Ryan Elijah |
| FL-08 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 6% | Jennifer Jenkins v Mike Haridopolos |
| FL-09 | D 99% | D 99% | D 100% | Darren Soto v Dan Green |
| FL-10 | D 99% | – | D 99% | |
| FL-11 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 14% | James Pericola v Joe Strada |
| FL-12 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 16% | Kimberly Overman v Gus Bilirakis |
| FL-13 | Republicans won | D 0% | – | |
| FL-14 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 73% | Kathy Castor v Mike Beltran |
| FL-15 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 7% | Robert People v Laurel Lee |
| FL-16 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 23% | Kelly Kirschner v Sydney Gruters |
| FL-17 | R 98% | D 0% | D 4% | Matthew Montavon v Greg Steube |
| FL-18 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 9% | Curtis Gibson v Scott Franklin |
| FL-19 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 5% | Victor Arias v Jim Schwartzel |
| FL-20 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 96% | Debbie Wasserman Schultz v Brent Andersen |
| FL-21 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 12% | James Martin v Brian Mast |
| FL-22 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 72% | Pia Dandiya v Casey Askar |
| FL-23 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| FL-24 | D 97% | – | D 97% | Oliver Gilbert v Mayonna Te Brown |
| FL-25 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 85% | Jared Moskowitz v Scott Singer |
| FL-26 | R 98% | D 1% | D 3% | Nicole Locklin v Mario Díaz-Balart |
| FL-27 | R 96% | D 2% | D 5% | Eliott Rodriguez v Maria Elvira Salazar |
| FL-28 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 7% | Phil Ehr v Carlos Giménez |
Florida in the news
- Meghan Markle's Father Arrested in Florida on Child Sex Abuse Material Charges 11 publishers
- Measles Cases Surge to Highest Levels in Decades Across US and Globally 2 publishers
- Five-Star Recruit Brysen Wright Commits to Miami, Reclassifies to 2027 3 publishers
- Media outlets project Florida and Duke as favorites for 2027 NCAA tournament 4 publishers
- Florida Gators to Start QB Tramell Jones Jr. Against Oklahoma 3 publishers
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.