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South Carolina election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for South Carolina's Senate, governor and House races. Democrats won the Senate race · Republicans won the governor race · House: 7 of 7 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 2.1. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

South Carolina Senate race

Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 31% and Kalshi 28%. Polymarket missed it. Kalshi missed it.

Polymarket

Democrats 100% +69
Republicans 0% −70

Kalshi

Darline Graham (R) <1% −67
0%25%50%75%100%100%28%12 Sept4 Nov
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.

South Carolina governor race

Settled: Republicans won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 5% and Kalshi 6%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.

Polymarket

Democrats 0% −5
Republicans 100% +5

Kalshi

Alan Wilson (R) 100% +5
0%25%50%75%100%1%2%20 Oct4 Nov
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.

South Carolina House districts

7 of 7 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 2.1 of the priced seats; favoured in 2, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 5.

South Carolina House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
SC-01 Democrats won D 100% D 99% Nancy S. Lacore v Jenny Costa Honeycutt
SC-02 R 99% D 1% D 1% Zyon Khalifa v Joe Wilson
SC-03 R 98% D 0% D 4% Eunice Lehmacher v Sheri Biggs
SC-04 Republicans won D 0% D 5% Courtney McClain v William Timmons
SC-05 Republicans won D 0% D 7% Mallory Dittmer v Wes Climer
SC-06 Democrats won D 100% D 98% Jim Clyburn v John Peterson
SC-07 Republicans won D 0% D 5% John Vincent v Russell Fry

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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.