NewsMarkets
Live

Election odds › Oklahoma

Oklahoma election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Oklahoma's Senate, governor and House races. Republicans won the Senate race · Republicans won the governor race · House: 5 of 5 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 0.1. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Oklahoma Senate race

Settled: Republicans won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 1% and Kalshi 3%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.

Polymarket

Democrats 0% −1
Republicans 100% +1

Kalshi

N’Kiyla Thomas (D) 3%
Kevin Hern (R) 97% −1
0%25%50%75%100%0%3%21 Oct4 Nov
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.

Oklahoma governor race

Settled: Republicans won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 10% and Kalshi 11%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.

Polymarket

Democrats 0% −10
Republicans 100% +11

Kalshi

Cyndi Munson (D) 1% −10
Mike Mazzei (R) 98% +8
0%25%50%75%100%1%1%13 Oct4 Nov
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.

Oklahoma House districts

5 of 5 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 0.1 of the priced seats; favoured in 0, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 5.

Oklahoma House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
OK-01 Republicans won D 0% D 6% John Croisant v Mark Tedford
OK-02 Republicans won D 0% D 4% Brandon Wade v Josh Brecheen
OK-03 R 98% – D 2% Suzie Byrd v Frank Lucas
OK-04 Republicans won D 0% D 5% Mitchell Jacob v Tom Cole
OK-05 Republicans won D 0% D 2% Jena Nelson v Stephanie Bice

Oklahoma in the news

All Oklahoma stories →

Other states

Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.