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North Carolina election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for North Carolina's Senate and House races. Democrats won the Senate race · House: 14 of 14 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 10.7. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
North Carolina Senate race
Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 98% and Kalshi 97%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.
North Carolina House districts
14 of 14 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 10.7 of the priced seats; favoured in 11, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 3.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC-01 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| NC-02 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 98% | Deborah Ross v Gene Douglass |
| NC-03 | D 79% | D 82% | D 77% | Raymond Smith Jr. v Greg Murphy |
| NC-04 | D 98% | D 100% | D 96% | Valerie Foushee v Max Ganorkar |
| NC-05 | D 95% | D 96% | D 94% | Chuck Hubbard v Virginia Foxx |
| NC-06 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 100% | Cyril Jefferson v Addison McDowell |
| NC-07 | R 99% | D 1% | D <1% | Kim Hardy v David Rouzer |
| NC-08 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 1% | Colby Watson v Mark Harris |
| NC-09 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 100% | Richard Ojeda v Richard Hudson |
| NC-10 | R 99% | – | D 1% | Ashley Bell v Pat Harrigan |
| NC-11 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| NC-12 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 97% | Alma Adams v Jack Codiga |
| NC-13 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 100% | Paul Barringer v Brad Knott |
| NC-14 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 98% | LaKesha Womack v Tim Moore |
North Carolina in the news
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.