Election odds › Tennessee
Tennessee election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Tennessee's Senate, governor and House races. Republicans won the Senate race · Republicans won the governor race · House: 9 of 9 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.1. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Tennessee Senate race
Settled: Republicans won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 4% and Kalshi 3%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.
Tennessee governor race
Settled: Republicans won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 5% and Kalshi 7%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.
Tennessee House districts
9 of 9 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.1 of the priced seats; favoured in 1, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 8.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TN-01 | R 97% | – | D 3% | Kristi Burke v Diana Harshbarger |
| TN-02 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 4% | Michaela Barnett v Tim Burchett |
| TN-03 | R 99% | D 0% | D 2% | Anna Golladay v Chuck Fleischmann |
| TN-04 | D 95% | D 96% | D 95% | Victoria Broderick v Scott DesJarlais |
| TN-05 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 11% | Chaz Molder v Charlie Hatcher |
| TN-06 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 4% | Mike Croley v Johnny Garrett |
| TN-07 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 4% | Darden Copeland v Matt Van Epps |
| TN-08 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 4% | Heidi Kuhn v David Kustoff |
| TN-09 | Republicans won | D 0% | D <1% | Justin J. Pearson v Brent Taylor |
Tennessee in the news
Other states
- Alaska
- Alabama
- Arkansas
- Arizona
- California
- Colorado
- Connecticut
- Delaware
- Florida
- Georgia
- Hawaii
- Iowa
- Idaho
- Illinois
- Indiana
- Kansas
- Kentucky
- Louisiana
- Massachusetts
- Maryland
- Maine
- Michigan
- Minnesota
- Missouri
- Mississippi
- Montana
- North Carolina
- North Dakota
- Nebraska
- New Hampshire
- New Jersey
- New Mexico
- Nevada
- New York
- Ohio
- Oklahoma
- Oregon
- Pennsylvania
- Rhode Island
- South Carolina
- South Dakota
- Texas
- Utah
- Virginia
- Vermont
- Washington
- Wisconsin
- West Virginia
- Wyoming
Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.