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Missouri election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Missouri's House race. House: 8 of 8 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 2.8. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Missouri House districts
8 of 8 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 2.8 of the priced seats; favoured in 3, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 5.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MO-01 | D 99% | – | D 99% | Wesley Bell v Paul Berry |
| MO-02 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 35% | Fred Wellman v Ann Wagner |
| MO-03 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 3% | Bethany Mann v Bob Onder |
| MO-04 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 4% | Jordan Herrera v Mark Alford |
| MO-05 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| MO-06 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 4% | Josh Smead v Chris Stigall |
| MO-07 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 4% | Missi Hesketh v Eric Burlison |
| MO-08 | R 98% | – | D 2% | Chris Reichard v Jason Smith |
Missouri in the news
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.