Missouri Voters Reject Ballot Measure to Reimpose Abortion Ban
Missourians narrowly defeated Amendment 3, which sought to reinstate a near-total abortion ban and prohibit gender-affirming care for minors.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by NPR Politics, 17 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 07:13 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 04:03 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 03:41 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 02:34 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 54% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Nov, 01:20 UTC | 51% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Nov, 00:15 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 05:19 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 20:30 UTC | 24% |
| 1 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 28% |
| 1 Nov, 15:31 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 30% |
| 31 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 36% |
| 28 Oct, 08:51 UTC | 25% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Amendment 7 respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 4 Nov 2026. NPR Politics published first, on 4 November at 04:25 UTC; Mother Jones followed 18 min later. The most recent article, from Just In News, appeared on 4 November at 06:56 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: NPR Politics (major outlet), Just In News (major outlet), Mother Jones.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Amendment 7 — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Amendment 7 passes in Missouri and No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution criteria instead of the official election results.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Amendment 7 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- NPR PoliticsMissourians reject ballot proposal that would have re-imposed an abortion ban2%
- Mother JonesMissouri Defeated an Abortion Ban at the Ballot Box—Again2%
- Mother JonesMissouri Defeats an Abortion Ban at the Ballot Box—Again2%
- Just In NewsMissouri rejects ballot measure to overturn abortion protections2%
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Missouri rejects ballot measure to overturn abortion protections Just In News ·
- Missourians reject ballot proposal that would have re-imposed an abortion ban NPR Politics ·
- Missouri Defeated an Abortion Ban at the Ballot Box—Again Mother Jones
- Missouri Defeats an Abortion Ban at the Ballot Box—Again Mother Jones
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Amendment 7 No 2d ago
The market favoured No at 77% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Missouri
- Decision Desk HQ