Amendment 7
The market favoured No at 77% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolved4 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 07:13 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 04:03 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 03:41 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 02:34 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 54% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Nov, 01:20 UTC | 51% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Nov, 00:15 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 05:19 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 20:30 UTC | 24% |
| 1 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 28% |
| 1 Nov, 15:31 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 30% |
| 31 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 36% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Amendment 7 passes in Missouri and No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution criteria instead of the official election results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%