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Election odds › Vermont

Vermont election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Vermont's governor and House races. Republicans won the governor race · House: 1 of 1 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.0. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Vermont governor race

Settled: Republicans won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 31% and Kalshi 25%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.

Polymarket

Democrats 0% −31
Republicans 100% +32

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%1%25%23 Sept4 Nov
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.

Vermont House districts

1 of 1 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.0 of the priced seats; favoured in 1, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 0.

Vermont House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
VT-AL Democrats won D 100% D 98% Becca Balint v Gerald Malloy

Other states

Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.