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New York election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for New York's governor and House races. Democrats won the governor race · House: 25 of 26 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 18.8. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
New York governor race
Settled: Democrats won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 96% and Kalshi 96%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.
New York House districts
25 of 26 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 18.8 of the priced seats; favoured in 19, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 6.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY-01 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 2% | Chris Gallant v Nick LaLota |
| NY-02 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 1% | Patrick Halpin v Andrew Garbarino |
| NY-03 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| NY-04 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| NY-05 | D 98% | – | D 98% | Gregory Meeks v George Marsh |
| NY-06 | D 99% | D 100% | D 98% | Grace Meng v Joseph Chou |
| NY-07 | D 97% | – | D 97% | Claire Valdez v Melvin Rivera |
| NY-08 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 98% | Hakeem Jeffries v Lewis Mizrahi |
| NY-09 | D 99% | – | D 99% | Yvette Clarke v Joel Anabilah-Azumah |
| NY-10 | D 98% | – | D 98% | Brad Lander v Jennifer Moore |
| NY-11 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 9% | Michael DeCillis v Nicole Malliotakis |
| NY-12 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 98% | Micah Lasher v Caroline Shinkle |
| NY-13 | D 98% | – | D 98% | Darializa Avila Chevalier v Manual "Jomo" Williams |
| NY-14 | D 99% | D 100% | D 98% | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez v Diamant Hysenaj |
| NY-15 | D 97% | – | D 97% | Ritchie Torres v Stylo Sapaskis |
| NY-16 | D 92% | – | D 92% | George Latimer v Joseph Cinquemani |
| NY-17 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| NY-19 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| NY-20 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 97% | Paul Tonko v Ralph Ambrosio |
| NY-21 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 1% | Blake Gendebien v Anthony Constantino |
| NY-22 | Democrats won | D 100% | – | |
| NY-23 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 4% | Aaron Gies v Nick Langworthy |
| NY-24 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 5% | Alissa Ellman v Claudia Tenney |
| NY-25 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 97% | Joseph Morelle v Virginia McIntyre |
| NY-26 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 97% | Tim Kennedy v Dennis Hannon |
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.