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Kentucky election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Kentucky's Senate and House races. Republicans won the Senate race · House: 6 of 6 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.8. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Kentucky Senate race
Settled: Republicans won. A day before, Polymarket gave Democrats 4% and Kalshi 3%. Polymarket called it. Kalshi called it.
Kentucky House districts
6 of 6 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.8 of the priced seats; favoured in 2, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 4.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KY-01 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 1% | Drew Williams v James Comer |
| KY-02 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 3% | Megan Wingfield v Brett Guthrie |
| KY-03 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 97% | Morgan McGarvey v Maria Rodriguez |
| KY-04 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 4% | Melissa Claire Strange v Ed Gallrein |
| KY-05 | Republicans won | D 0% | D 1% | Ned Pillersdorf v Hal Rogers |
| KY-06 | Democrats won | D 100% | D 55% | Zach Dembo v Ralph Alvarado |
Kentucky in the news
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.