Amy Acton Wins Ohio Governor Race, Becoming First Female Governor
Democrat Amy Acton defeats Republican Vivek Ramaswamy to become Ohio's first female governor, ending 16 years of Republican control.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Fox News Politics, 30 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 10:32 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 01:56 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 23:04 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 17:05 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 15:50 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 13:09 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 11:54 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 09:07 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 06:50 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Nov, 03:03 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Nov, 02:49 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 25% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Nov, 00:15 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 20:19 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 17:37 UTC | 20% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Amy Acton, 4-6% respond.
The story so far
11 publishers have covered this in 19 articles since 4 Nov 2026. Fox News Politics published first, on 4 November at 03:01 UTC; Bloomberg.com followed 31 min later. The most recent article, from South China Morning Post, appeared on 7 November at 00:15 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg.com (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), NPR Politics (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Fox News Politics, Times of India, Mother Jones, Quartz, South China Morning Post.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Amy Acton, 4-6% — the market puts it at 2%, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Amy Acton wins the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by a margin between 4% and 6%. It resolves to No if her victory margin falls outside that specific range. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution criteria, but only the final official election results determine the outcome.
- Acton, 2+ pts — the market puts it at 99%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if the Democratic Party wins the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election with a margin of at least two percentage points. The outcome is No if the Democratic Party wins by less than two percentage points or loses the election. Readers often mistake the required margin, thinking any Democratic win counts instead of only those with a two-point advantage.
- Ohio — the market puts it at 0%, closing 20 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Ohio has the smallest margin of victory among all 2026 U.S. gubernatorial elections as of January 20, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked story about Amy Acton for the resolution criteria, but the market depends solely on the final election margins across all states.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Amy Acton, 4-6% at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Fox News PoliticsTrump country sees 20-year GOP grip on governor's mansion shattered22%
- Bloomberg.comDemocrat Acton Wins Ohio Governor Race, DDHQ Projects58%▲37 points since the previous source
- The HillActon defeats Ramaswamy in Ohio governor's race58%
- NPR PoliticsOhio elects Amy Acton first woman governor58%
- CBS News PoliticsDemocrat Amy Acton wins Ohio governor's race58%
- The Guardian USAmy Acton wins Ohio race for governor, ending 16 years of Republican control of office58%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraDemocrat Amy Acton beats Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in Ohio governor’s race38%▼20 points since the previous source
- Times of IndiaUS poll results: Democrat Amy Acton defeats Ramaswamy, flips Ohio governor's office38%
- Mother JonesAmy Acton Defeats Vivek Ramaswamy in Ohio Governor’s Contest38%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraDemocrat Amy Acton makes history in Ohio1%▼37 points since the previous source
Show 9 later sources
- NPR PoliticsDemocrat Amy Acton defeats Vivek Ramaswamy in race to become Ohio's next governor3%▲2 points since the previous source
- The HillOhio's Amy Acton stops speech to help person in crowd after historic win4%▲2 points since the previous source
- Quartz10 moments from the Ohio governor race that ended a 20-year Democratic drought1%▼3 points since the previous source
- The HillChristie: Vance 'will be remembered' for backing controversial Ramaswamy ad1%
- QuartzRamaswamy gestand die Gouverneurswahl in Ohio an Amy Acton, und sagte, er drücke ihr die Daumen.2%
- QuartzVivek Ramaswamy räumte das Rennen um das Gouverneursamt von Ohio an Amy Acton ein und forderte seine Anhänger auf, sie zu unterstützen.2%▲1 points since the previous source
- CBS News PoliticsAmy Acton says she has "no intention" of speaking to Ramaswamy2%
- The HillActon: 'No intention' of speaking with Ramaswamy after 'beyond the pale' ad2%
- South China Morning PostAfter US midterms, how bitter political divisions eroded 4 Chinese dynasties2%
- Current odds2%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Acton: 'No intention' of speaking with Ramaswamy after 'beyond the pale' ad The Hill ·
- Amy Acton says she has "no intention" of speaking to Ramaswamy CBS News Politics ·
- Christie: Vance 'will be remembered' for backing controversial Ramaswamy ad The Hill ·
- Ohio's Amy Acton stops speech to help person in crowd after historic win The Hill ·
- Democrat Amy Acton defeats Vivek Ramaswamy in race to become Ohio's next governor NPR Politics ·
- Democrat Amy Acton makes history in Ohio Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
Show 13 more sources
- Democrat Amy Acton beats Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in Ohio governor’s race Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Amy Acton wins Ohio race for governor, ending 16 years of Republican control of office The Guardian US ·
- Democrat Amy Acton wins Ohio governor's race CBS News Politics ·
- Ohio elects Amy Acton first woman governor NPR Politics ·
- Acton defeats Ramaswamy in Ohio governor's race The Hill ·
- Democrat Acton Wins Ohio Governor Race, DDHQ Projects Bloomberg.com ·
- After US midterms, how bitter political divisions eroded 4 Chinese dynasties South China Morning Post
- Vivek Ramaswamy räumte das Rennen um das Gouverneursamt von Ohio an Amy Acton ein und forderte seine Anhänger auf, sie zu unterstützen. Quartz
- Ramaswamy gestand die Gouverneurswahl in Ohio an Amy Acton, und sagte, er drücke ihr die Daumen. Quartz
- 10 moments from the Ohio governor race that ended a 20-year Democratic drought Quartz
- Amy Acton Defeats Vivek Ramaswamy in Ohio Governor’s Contest Mother Jones
- US poll results: Democrat Amy Acton defeats Ramaswamy, flips Ohio governor's office Times of India
- Trump country sees 20-year GOP grip on governor's mansion shattered Fox News Politics
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Amy Acton, 4-6% 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Acton, 2+ pts 99% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Ohio 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Amy Acton
- Vivek Ramaswamy
- Ohio