Amy Acton, 4-6%
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$5
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 10:32 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 01:56 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 23:04 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 17:05 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 15:50 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 13:09 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 11:54 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 09:07 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 06:50 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Nov, 03:03 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Nov, 02:49 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 25% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Nov, 00:15 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 20:19 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 17:37 UTC | 20% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Amy Acton wins the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by a margin between 4% and 6%. It resolves to No if her victory margin falls outside that specific range. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution criteria, but only the final official election results determine the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%