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Election Day 2026: NPR Reports from Texas, Ohio and Michigan

NPR reporters cover midterm elections in key states including Texas, Ohio and Michigan.

1 publisher · 4 articles · first seen 3 Nov 2026 · updated 3d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
0%50%100%0%15 Sept, 23:08 UTCnowNPR Politics: Election Day 2026: The view from Iowa · 3 Nov, 22:23 UTCNPR Politics: Election Day 2026: The view from Texas · 3 Nov, 21:14 UTCNPR Politics: Election Day 2026: The view from Ohio · 3 Nov, 21:14 UTCNPR Politics: Election Day 2026: The view from Michigan · 3 Nov, 21:14 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
4 Nov, 03:55 UTC2%
4 Nov, 03:26 UTC3%
4 Nov, 02:56 UTC3%
4 Nov, 02:26 UTC6%
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4 Nov, 01:27 UTC7%
4 Nov, 00:58 UTC12%
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3 Nov, 23:31 UTC14%
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1 Nov, 20:43 UTC26%
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28 Oct, 23:47 UTC30%
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26 Oct, 19:30 UTC33%
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26 Oct, 15:09 UTC31%
26 Oct, 14:47 UTC32%
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25 Oct, 23:35 UTC29%
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24 Oct, 19:09 UTC28%
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22 Oct, 21:16 UTC29%
22 Oct, 20:48 UTC28%
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22 Oct, 15:28 UTC30%
22 Oct, 14:17 UTC28%
22 Oct, 08:01 UTC30%
21 Oct, 21:41 UTC31%
21 Oct, 13:04 UTC30%
21 Oct, 12:56 UTC30%
21 Oct, 11:24 UTC30%
18 Oct, 17:31 UTC31%
18 Oct, 14:01 UTC31%
18 Oct, 11:40 UTC31%
18 Oct, 10:45 UTC31%
18 Oct, 09:40 UTC32%
18 Oct, 01:35 UTC33%
18 Oct, 01:23 UTC32%
17 Oct, 23:58 UTC31%
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15 Oct, 20:45 UTC30%
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13 Oct, 08:53 UTC31%
13 Oct, 02:07 UTC30%
13 Oct, 01:48 UTC31%
13 Oct, 00:21 UTC30%
12 Oct, 23:21 UTC31%
12 Oct, 22:08 UTC30%
12 Oct, 21:11 UTC31%
12 Oct, 18:22 UTC30%
12 Oct, 17:43 UTC28%
12 Oct, 16:19 UTC30%
12 Oct, 15:07 UTC28%
12 Oct, 14:27 UTC30%
12 Oct, 13:55 UTC30%
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12 Oct, 10:15 UTC30%
10 Oct, 22:13 UTC33%
10 Oct, 20:34 UTC32%
10 Oct, 20:28 UTC31%
10 Oct, 19:11 UTC31%
10 Oct, 04:54 UTC30%
10 Oct, 03:05 UTC32%
9 Oct, 22:58 UTC33%
9 Oct, 22:17 UTC32%
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9 Oct, 15:14 UTC31%
9 Oct, 12:38 UTC30%
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9 Oct, 06:56 UTC31%
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9 Oct, 04:46 UTC31%
8 Oct, 20:47 UTC30%
8 Oct, 19:58 UTC29%
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8 Oct, 18:46 UTC29%
8 Oct, 17:34 UTC28%
8 Oct, 13:00 UTC30%
8 Oct, 08:55 UTC28%
8 Oct, 07:32 UTC30%
8 Oct, 06:26 UTC29%
7 Oct, 23:31 UTC28%
30 Sept, 06:20 UTC28%
29 Sept, 17:33 UTC28%
29 Sept, 16:07 UTC30%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC31%
26 Sept, 18:59 UTC30%
24 Sept, 06:09 UTC28%
24 Sept, 04:43 UTC27%
24 Sept, 04:23 UTC26%
23 Sept, 23:34 UTC27%
23 Sept, 23:27 UTC26%
23 Sept, 18:54 UTC26%
23 Sept, 18:06 UTC28%
23 Sept, 15:54 UTC28%
23 Sept, 14:48 UTC28%
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23 Sept, 00:15 UTC25%
22 Sept, 23:53 UTC25%
22 Sept, 23:14 UTC26%
22 Sept, 17:54 UTC27%
22 Sept, 15:55 UTC29%
22 Sept, 15:23 UTC29%
22 Sept, 14:50 UTC30%
22 Sept, 14:28 UTC31%
22 Sept, 12:11 UTC32%
22 Sept, 11:10 UTC33%
18 Sept, 03:26 UTC35%
18 Sept, 01:52 UTC35%
17 Sept, 20:10 UTC35%
17 Sept, 19:50 UTC35%
17 Sept, 14:38 UTC34%
17 Sept, 13:49 UTC34%
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17 Sept, 12:35 UTC35%
17 Sept, 12:02 UTC34%
17 Sept, 11:30 UTC35%
17 Sept, 10:29 UTC34%
17 Sept, 09:23 UTC34%
17 Sept, 08:13 UTC34%
17 Sept, 07:10 UTC34%
17 Sept, 06:43 UTC34%
17 Sept, 05:39 UTC35%
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17 Sept, 03:31 UTC34%
17 Sept, 03:10 UTC34%
17 Sept, 02:45 UTC35%
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16 Sept, 17:41 UTC39%
15 Sept, 23:08 UTC40%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 4 articles since 3 Nov 2026. NPR Politics published first, on 3 November at 21:14 UTC. The most recent article, from NPR Politics, appeared on 3 November at 22:23 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if a Republican wins the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate election, including any run-offs. The No outcome applies if a Democrat or independent candidate wins. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution; the market waits until the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or until official certification occurs if they do not agree.
  • Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves based on who wins the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election, including any run-offs. A Democrat wins if their party’s nominee takes office, regardless of whether they are a new candidate or a replacement for an earlier nominee. Readers often misunderstand that independent candidates do not count as Democrats, even if they have past ties to the party.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. NPR PoliticsElection Day 2026: The view from Michigan24%
  2. NPR PoliticsElection Day 2026: The view from Ohio24%
  3. NPR PoliticsElection Day 2026: The view from Texas24%
  4. NPR PoliticsElection Day 2026: The view from Iowa24%
  5. Market resolved: No

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Election Day 2026: The view from Iowa NPR Politics ·
  2. Election Day 2026: The view from Texas NPR Politics ·
  3. Election Day 2026: The view from Ohio NPR Politics ·
  4. Election Day 2026: The view from Michigan NPR Politics ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No 3d ago
    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 3d ago

    The market favoured Yes at 75% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

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