David Bowie Self-Portrait and Jeff Koons Collection Headline Major Auctions at Sotheby's and Christie's
Sotheby’s auctions a rare David Bowie self-portrait while Christie’s offers $100 million of Jeff Koons' personal collection alongside works by van Gogh.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by ABC News, 16 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 84% |
| 11 Oct, 22:40 UTC | 84% |
| 11 Oct, 11:12 UTC | 85% |
| 11 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 84% |
| 11 Oct, 00:51 UTC | 91% |
| 10 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 85% |
| 10 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 91% |
| 10 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 85% |
| 9 Oct, 21:36 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Oct, 07:00 UTC | 89% |
| 3 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 88% |
| 2 Oct, 01:33 UTC | 83% |
| 1 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 87% |
| 30 Sept, 19:17 UTC | 78% |
| 30 Sept, 12:31 UTC | 53% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 79% |
| 29 Sept, 12:00 UTC | 23% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Above $117,180,000 respond.
The story so far
6 publishers have covered this in 20 articles since 30 Sept 2026. ABC News published first, on 30 September at 11:59 UTC; ARTnews – ARTnews.com followed 17 min later. The most recent article, from Times of India, appeared on 10 October at 10:30 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: ABC News (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), Variety (major outlet), ARTnews – ARTnews.com, Fortune, Times of India.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Above $117,180,000 — the market puts it at 84%, with $12 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a Vincent van Gogh painting sells for more than $117,180,000 at any public auction house in 2026. It resolves to No if no such sale occurs within that year. Readers often mistake the linked Sotheby's headline as proof of resolution, but only final prices from 2026 count.
- Above $179,365,000 — the market puts it at 8%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if any Pablo Picasso artwork sells for more than $179,365,000 at a public auction in 2026. It resolves to "No" if no Picasso work exceeds that price during the year. Readers often mistake this rule for applying to all artists or other auctions, but it specifically targets only Pablo Picasso's sales.
- Above $110,747,000 — the market puts it at 12%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a Claude Monet painting sells for more than $110,747,000 at any public auction in 2026. It resolves to No if no Monet artwork exceeds that price during the year. Readers often mistake the linked Van Gogh auction for the relevant event, but only Monet sales count.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Above $117,180,000 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- ABC NewsWorks by van Gogh and Cézanne up for sale in Sotheby's $450 million auction23%
- ARTnews – ARTnews.com$180 M. Van Gogh Landscape Leads Blaquier-Arrieta Collection of Impressionist and Modern Masterpieces at Upcoming Sotheby’s Auction79%▲56 points since the previous source
- Fortune‘The stuff of legend’: Unseen works of van Gogh and Cézanne from a private collection are going up for auction at $450 million53%▼26 points since the previous source
- Times of India12 paintings hidden for 50 years head to auction valued near $450 million87%▲34 points since the previous source
- ARTnews – ARTnews.comSotheby’s To Sell Artworks from Collection of Bankrupt Hedge Funder George Allen Weiss87%
- ARTnews.comAfter Selling Napoleon Memorabilia, Sotheby’s Turns to His Enemy, Horatio Nelson, for $8 M. Auction83%▼4 points since the previous source
- Times of India$9.99 thrift-store painting turns out to be artwork sold for $34,37588%▲5 points since the previous source
- Times of IndiaMan bought Goodwill painting for $3; it later sold for $190,00089%▲1 points since the previous source
- The New York TimesJeff Koons Is Selling $100 Million of His Personal Art Collection89%
- ARTnews – ARTnews.comJeff Koons Cashes in $100 M. Art Collection to Christie’s, Damien Hirst Makes Case for Wearable Art Ahead of New Barrie Cashmere Collection, and More: Morning Links for October 5, 202689%
Show 10 later sources
- ARTnews – ARTnews.comJeff Koons Appears to Be the ‘Distinguished Collector’ Offering $100 M. in Old and Modern Masters at Christie’s89%
- Times of IndiaWisconsin shopper paid $29 for painting; it later sold for $882,50089%
- The New York TimesBought for $30, Gertrude Abercrombie Painting Set Off $1.35 Million Bidding War89%
- Times of IndiaUK couple rescued cat paintings from skip; years later, they sold for £16,00089%
- News – ARTnews.comGertrude Abercrombie Painting, Bought for $30 at an Estate Sale, Sets $1.3 M. Auction Record89%
- Times of IndiaShopper paid C$5 for painting; David Bowie original later sold for C$108,12089%
- ARTnews – ARTnews.comSotheby’s To Offer $100 M. Collection of Ted and Ruth Baum, Led by $15 M. Paintings by Rothko and Ruscha89%
- VarietyA Rare David Bowie Self-Portrait — Featuring His Handprints — Is Going on Auction at Sotheby’s89%
- ARTnews – ARTnews.comA Winston Churchill Painting Gifted to His Daughter Lands at Christie’s89%
- Times of IndiaUS hospital worker paid $15.99 for Goodwill painting; later valued up to $80,00085%▼4 points since the previous source
- Current odds84%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- A Rare David Bowie Self-Portrait — Featuring His Handprints — Is Going on Auction at Sotheby’s Variety ·
- Bought for $30, Gertrude Abercrombie Painting Set Off $1.35 Million Bidding War The New York Times ·
- Jeff Koons Is Selling $100 Million of His Personal Art Collection The New York Times ·
- Works by van Gogh and Cézanne up for sale in Sotheby's $450 million auction ABC News ·
- US hospital worker paid $15.99 for Goodwill painting; later valued up to $80,000 Times of India
- A Winston Churchill Painting Gifted to His Daughter Lands at Christie’s ARTnews – ARTnews.com
Show 14 more sources
- Sotheby’s To Offer $100 M. Collection of Ted and Ruth Baum, Led by $15 M. Paintings by Rothko and Ruscha ARTnews – ARTnews.com
- Shopper paid C$5 for painting; David Bowie original later sold for C$108,120 Times of India
- Gertrude Abercrombie Painting, Bought for $30 at an Estate Sale, Sets $1.3 M. Auction Record News – ARTnews.com
- UK couple rescued cat paintings from skip; years later, they sold for £16,000 Times of India
- Wisconsin shopper paid $29 for painting; it later sold for $882,500 Times of India
- Jeff Koons Appears to Be the ‘Distinguished Collector’ Offering $100 M. in Old and Modern Masters at Christie’s ARTnews – ARTnews.com
- Jeff Koons Cashes in $100 M. Art Collection to Christie’s, Damien Hirst Makes Case for Wearable Art Ahead of New Barrie Cashmere Collection, and More: Morning Links for October 5, 2026 ARTnews – ARTnews.com
- Man bought Goodwill painting for $3; it later sold for $190,000 Times of India
- $9.99 thrift-store painting turns out to be artwork sold for $34,375 Times of India
- After Selling Napoleon Memorabilia, Sotheby’s Turns to His Enemy, Horatio Nelson, for $8 M. Auction ARTnews.com
- Sotheby’s To Sell Artworks from Collection of Bankrupt Hedge Funder George Allen Weiss ARTnews – ARTnews.com
- 12 paintings hidden for 50 years head to auction valued near $450 million Times of India
- ‘The stuff of legend’: Unseen works of van Gogh and Cézanne from a private collection are going up for auction at $450 million Fortune
- $180 M. Van Gogh Landscape Leads Blaquier-Arrieta Collection of Impressionist and Modern Masterpieces at Upcoming Sotheby’s Auction ARTnews – ARTnews.com
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Above $117,180,000 84% −1
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- Kalshi Above $179,365,000 8%
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- Kalshi Above $110,747,000 12%
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In this story
- David Bowie
- Sotheby’s
- Christie’s
- Jeff Koons