Above $117,180,000
Implied probability 88%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$20k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 88% |
| 13 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 88% |
| 13 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 87% |
| 11 Oct, 22:40 UTC | 84% |
| 11 Oct, 11:12 UTC | 85% |
| 11 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 84% |
| 11 Oct, 00:51 UTC | 91% |
| 10 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 85% |
| 10 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 91% |
| 10 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 85% |
| 9 Oct, 21:36 UTC | 86% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Vincent van Gogh painting sells for more than $117,180,000 at any public auction house in 2026. It resolves to No if no such sale occurs within that year. Readers often mistake the linked Sotheby's headline as proof of resolution, but only final prices from 2026 count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 88%
- No 12%