Pierce Brosnan Backs Callum Turner as James Bond; Pattinson and Hoult Screen Tested Hot: Odds moved 12 points in 24 hours
Former 007 star Pierce Brosnan endorses Callum Turner as the frontrunner for the role, while Robert Pattinson and Nicholas Hoult are revealed to have recently screen-tested for the franchise.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 38% |
| 7 Nov, 06:46 UTC | 38% |
| 7 Nov, 06:25 UTC | 39% |
| 7 Nov, 05:57 UTC | 40% |
| 7 Nov, 05:16 UTC | 39% |
| 7 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 40% |
| 7 Nov, 03:59 UTC | 45% |
| 7 Nov, 02:46 UTC | 48% |
| 7 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 47% |
| 7 Nov, 01:55 UTC | 48% |
| 7 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 47% |
| 7 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 48% |
| 7 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 23:47 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Nov, 23:26 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Nov, 22:21 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 21:38 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 20:39 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 20:09 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 19:40 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 18:05 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Nov, 17:57 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 16:28 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 15:51 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 12:22 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 09:37 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 08:55 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 08:13 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 07:10 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 06:00 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 51% |
| 6 Nov, 04:56 UTC | 46% |
| 6 Nov, 04:13 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 03:58 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 46% |
| 6 Nov, 02:52 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 01:38 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 55% |
| 6 Nov, 00:20 UTC | 54% |
| 5 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 50% |
| 5 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 22:11 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Nov, 19:07 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Nov, 18:06 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 58% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Nov, 15:05 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Nov, 14:32 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Nov, 13:38 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Nov, 12:14 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Nov, 06:26 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Nov, 05:30 UTC | 61% |
| 5 Nov, 05:23 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 58% |
| 5 Nov, 04:05 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Nov, 03:37 UTC | 59% |
| 5 Nov, 03:08 UTC | 58% |
| 5 Nov, 02:54 UTC | 60% |
| 5 Nov, 02:03 UTC | 58% |
| 5 Nov, 01:56 UTC | 54% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Nov, 00:37 UTC | 68% |
| 5 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Nov, 23:11 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 22:42 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Nov, 22:27 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 21:58 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Nov, 20:52 UTC | 74% |
| 4 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Nov, 19:19 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Nov, 18:57 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 74% |
| 4 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 16:42 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Nov, 15:43 UTC | 74% |
| 4 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Nov, 14:37 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Nov, 14:08 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Nov, 13:53 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Nov, 12:47 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Nov, 12:24 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 10:44 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Nov, 10:29 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Nov, 09:43 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 09:07 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 07:27 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Nov, 04:33 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Nov, 03:48 UTC | 74% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Nov, 02:19 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 23:17 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 20:49 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 19:21 UTC | 59% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 18:13 UTC | 66% |
| 3 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 66% |
| 3 Nov, 16:26 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 14:53 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 13:40 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 08:52 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 07:55 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 06:44 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 06:01 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 62% |
| 3 Nov, 04:51 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 04:29 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 03:54 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 01:54 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 66% |
| 2 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 68% |
| 2 Nov, 23:23 UTC | 72% |
| 2 Nov, 22:17 UTC | 64% |
| 2 Nov, 21:55 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Nov, 20:58 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Nov, 20:16 UTC | 54% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 57% |
| 2 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 63% |
| 2 Nov, 17:41 UTC | 57% |
| 2 Nov, 17:19 UTC | 57% |
| 2 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 15:42 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 14:49 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Nov, 03:35 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 03:13 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 00:12 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Nov, 20:07 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Nov, 19:30 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Nov, 18:54 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Nov, 18:04 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Nov, 15:00 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Nov, 10:57 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Nov, 10:14 UTC | 35% |
| 1 Nov, 07:45 UTC | 33% |
| 1 Nov, 06:22 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Nov, 04:50 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 35% |
| 31 Oct, 23:31 UTC | 39% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 40% |
| 31 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 35% |
| 31 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 35% |
| 31 Oct, 19:32 UTC | 35% |
| 31 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 36% |
| 31 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 31% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Callum Turner respond.
The story so far
7 publishers have covered this in 11 articles since 2 Nov 2026. NME published first, on 2 November at 10:20 UTC; Variety followed 27h 36m later. The most recent article, from Deadline, appeared on 7 November at 03:33 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), The Guardian Culture (major outlet), NME, The A.V. Club, Deadline, Consequence.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Callum Turner — the market puts it at 38%, with $15k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2030. The market resolves to Yes if Callum Turner is officially cast as the next James Bond before January 1, 2030. It resolves to No if that specific casting does not occur by the deadline. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Amazon's decision process for the actual confirmation of his role.
- No one announced as next James Bond? — the market puts it at 14%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if an actor is officially announced as the next James Bond by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The resolution relies on the first official announcement from Amazon MGM Studios or a consensus of credible reporting. Readers often mistake the deadline for the casting process itself rather than the specific date and time of the public announcement.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Callum Turner at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- NMEJames Bond experts think Callum Turner has been named new 00737%
- VarietyPierce Brosnan Approves of Callum Turner as James Bond: He’s ‘So Strong’ and I’m ‘Eager to See’ Who Becomes the Next 00771%▲34 points since the previous source
- The Hollywood ReporterPierce Brosnan Supports Callum Turner Being Cast as James Bond: “So Strong…”68%▼3 points since the previous source
- The A.V. ClubPierce Brosnan seems into the idea of Callum Turner playing James Bond65%▼3 points since the previous source
- DeadlinePierce Brosnan Endorses Callum Turner As Next James Bond As “He’s So Strong”; Josh O’Connor Reacts To Talk Around 007 Casting72%▲7 points since the previous source
- The Guardian CultureCallum Turner emerges as James Bond favourite as Pierce Brosnan endorses actor: ‘He’s so strong’68%▼4 points since the previous source
- NMENew James Bond rumour claims Josh O’Connor has been cast as 00748%▼20 points since the previous source
- The Hollywood ReporterJames Bond Surprise: Robert Pattinson Screen Tested to Play 00748%
- VarietyJames Bond Shocker: Robert Pattinson and Nicholas Hoult Late Contenders for 007 After Auditioning for Denis Villeneuve48%
- ConsequenceRobert Pattinson Emerges As Candidate to Play James Bond48%
- DeadlineRobert Pattinson & Nicholas Hoult Round Out James Bond Screen Tests48%
- Current odds38%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- James Bond Shocker: Robert Pattinson and Nicholas Hoult Late Contenders for 007 After Auditioning for Denis Villeneuve Variety ·
- James Bond Surprise: Robert Pattinson Screen Tested to Play 007 The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Callum Turner emerges as James Bond favourite as Pierce Brosnan endorses actor: ‘He’s so strong’ The Guardian Culture ·
- Pierce Brosnan Supports Callum Turner Being Cast as James Bond: “So Strong…” The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Pierce Brosnan Approves of Callum Turner as James Bond: He’s ‘So Strong’ and I’m ‘Eager to See’ Who Becomes the Next 007 Variety ·
- Robert Pattinson & Nicholas Hoult Round Out James Bond Screen Tests Deadline
Show 5 more sources
- Robert Pattinson Emerges As Candidate to Play James Bond Consequence
- New James Bond rumour claims Josh O’Connor has been cast as 007 NME
- Pierce Brosnan Endorses Callum Turner As Next James Bond As “He’s So Strong”; Josh O’Connor Reacts To Talk Around 007 Casting Deadline
- Pierce Brosnan seems into the idea of Callum Turner playing James Bond The A.V. Club
- James Bond experts think Callum Turner has been named new 007 NME
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Callum Turner 38% −12
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket No one announced as next James Bond? 14% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Pierce Brosnan
- Callum Turner
- Robert Pattinson
- Nicholas Hoult
- Josh O'Connor
- Dennis Villeneuve