Ramayana: Rise of a Legend Opens in India Amidst Box Office Analysis Hot: Odds moved 10 points in 24 hours
The first part of the epic adaptation starring Ranbir Kapoor has opened in India, drawing critical praise for its scale while box office figures fall short of initial high projections.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 7 Nov, 06:53 UTC | 11% |
| 7 Nov, 06:25 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Nov, 03:39 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 21:38 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 17:12 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 16:28 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 14:41 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 13:49 UTC | 0% |
| 6 Nov, 10:42 UTC | 0% |
| 6 Nov, 08:41 UTC | 0% |
| 6 Nov, 08:13 UTC | 0% |
| 6 Nov, 04:27 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 02:52 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Nov, 02:14 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 22:32 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 22% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m? respond.
The story so far
8 publishers have covered this in 11 articles since 4 Nov 2026. The Guardian Culture published first, on 4 November at 13:00 UTC; Variety followed 16h 30m later. The most recent article, from Times of India, appeared on 7 November at 00:16 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Culture (major outlet), Variety (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), Deutsche Welle, BBC News, Times of India, Features – IndieWire, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m? — the market puts it at 11%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2026. The market resolves based on the final domestic opening weekend gross for "Ramayana" from The Numbers website. This figure covers the three-day period of November 6–8 and includes Thursday previews, regardless of whether it counts only the USA or also Canada. Readers often mistake the deadline for when box office reports are published rather than when the data is officially finalized on the source site.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Guardian CultureRamayana: Rise of a Legend review – India’s most expensive film ever becomes spectacular, huge-scale epic—
- VarietyRanbir Kapoor and Yash’s ‘Ramayana’ Makers on Retelling India’s Epic for the World, as Amazon Music and T-Series Bet on A.R. Rahman and Hans Zimmer’s Soundtrack22%
- Deutsche WelleIndia news: Several feared trapped as building collapses in Old Delhi's Chawri Bazar22%
- BBC NewsIndia's costliest film retells a beloved Hindu epic - but divides critics22%
- Times of IndiaRamayana box office collection day 122%
- The New York Times‘Ramayana: Rise of a Legend’ Review: Royal Intrigue22%
- Features – IndieWireTwo ‘Ramayana’ Cuts Are in Theaters — but Your Best Bet for the Indian Epic Is Clear22%
- Times of India'Ramayana' scores Rs 64.85 net opening in India4%▼18 points since the previous source
- Times of India'Ramayana: Part 1' box office collection day 21%▼4 points since the previous source
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines'Ramayana': Ancient Hindu epic and India's most expensive film0%
- Times of India'Ramayana: Rise of a Legend' day 2: Ranbir, Sai starrer crosses Rs 100 cr India net1%
- Current odds11%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- ‘Ramayana: Rise of a Legend’ Review: Royal Intrigue The New York Times ·
- Ranbir Kapoor and Yash’s ‘Ramayana’ Makers on Retelling India’s Epic for the World, as Amazon Music and T-Series Bet on A.R. Rahman and Hans Zimmer’s Soundtrack Variety ·
- Ramayana: Rise of a Legend review – India’s most expensive film ever becomes spectacular, huge-scale epic The Guardian Culture ·
- 'Ramayana: Rise of a Legend' day 2: Ranbir, Sai starrer crosses Rs 100 cr India net Times of India
- 'Ramayana': Ancient Hindu epic and India's most expensive film France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- 'Ramayana: Part 1' box office collection day 2 Times of India
Show 5 more sources
- 'Ramayana' scores Rs 64.85 net opening in India Times of India
- Two ‘Ramayana’ Cuts Are in Theaters — but Your Best Bet for the Indian Epic Is Clear Features – IndieWire
- Ramayana box office collection day 1 Times of India
- India's costliest film retells a beloved Hindu epic - but divides critics BBC News
- India news: Several feared trapped as building collapses in Old Delhi's Chawri Bazar Deutsche Welle
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m? 11% +10
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In this story
- Ranbir Kapoor
- Nitesh Tiwari
- Hans Zimmer
- A.R. Rahman
- Amazon Music
- T-Series