Above $179,365,000
Implied probability 8%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if any Pablo Picasso artwork sells for more than $179,365,000 at a public auction in 2026. It resolves to "No" if no Picasso work exceeds that price during the year. Readers often mistake this rule for applying to all artists or other auctions, but it specifically targets only Pablo Picasso's sales.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%