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Hunger Games Prequel Sunrise on the Reaping Gets Praise and $60M+ Box Office Forecast

Critics praise the film as a franchise high while Jennifer Lawrence confirms her return to the role of Katniss Everdeen for the November release.

7 publishers · 13 articles · first seen 28 Oct 2026 · updated 9d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by Variety, 2h 11m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Above 90
0%50%100%13%4 Oct, 16:19 UTCnowVariety: Original ‘Hunger Games’ Star Elizabeth Banks Praises ‘Sunrise on the Reaping’ as ‘Amazing’: Joseph Zada Is a ‘Perfect’ Haymitch · 29 Oct, 15:31 UTCThe Hollywood Reporter: ‘The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ First Reactions · 29 Oct, 07:05 UTCVariety: ‘The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ First Reactions Call Prequel the ‘Rogue One’ of the Franchise and Praise Joseph Zada as Haymitch · 29 Oct, 00:20 UTCThe Hollywood Reporter: Elle Fanning, Mckenna Grace and Kieran Culkin Get Very Candid About Joining ‘The Hunger Games’ Universe · 28 Oct, 21:31 UTCThe Hollywood Reporter: Jennifer Lawrence Finally Confirms ‘Hunger Games’ Return, Reunites With Two Former Co-Stars · 28 Oct, 15:54 UTCVariety: Jennifer Lawrence Says Playing Katniss Again After 11 Years in ‘Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ Was ‘Crazy,’ ‘Unbelievable’ and ‘So Beautiful’ · 28 Oct, 13:38 UTCDeadline: ‘Hunger Games: Sunrise On The Reaping’ Looks Sunny On Tracking With Opening Forecasts Starting At $60M+ · 29 Oct, 16:32 UTCAll Content from Business Insider: The best and worst looks the cast of 'The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping' wore to a UK fan screening · 29 Oct, 15:16 UTCNME: ‘The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ first reactions call it a franchise best: “More brutal than you could imagine” · 29 Oct, 10:36 UTCDeadline: Jennifer Lawrence Addresses Being Bravo Superfan Who Uncovered ‘Summer House’ Reunion Leaker: “I Don’t Mind My Own Business” · 28 Oct, 17:31 UTCRolling Stone: ‘Sunrise on the Reaping’ Reunites Jennifer Lawrence With Woody Harrelson: ‘So Emotional’ · 28 Oct, 16:21 UTCThe A.V. Club: Jennifer Lawrence now openly talking about returning to Katniss role · 28 Oct, 16:10 UTCDeadline: Jennifer Lawrence On Reprising ‘Hunger Games’ Role For ‘Sunrise On The Reaping’: “It Was So Emotional” · 28 Oct, 15:50 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now13%
31 Oct, 10:13 UTC13%
31 Oct, 01:04 UTC12%
30 Oct, 15:21 UTC14%
30 Oct, 13:42 UTC12%
30 Oct, 12:52 UTC14%
30 Oct, 04:29 UTC16%
30 Oct, 02:41 UTC17%
29 Oct, 20:16 UTC17%
29 Oct, 18:35 UTC16%
29 Oct, 09:55 UTC17%
29 Oct, 05:44 UTC18%
29 Oct, 04:28 UTC17%
29 Oct, 03:21 UTC18%
29 Oct, 01:52 UTC17%
29 Oct, 00:48 UTC16%
29 Oct, 00:27 UTC18%
28 Oct, 23:04 UTC14%
28 Oct, 21:49 UTC12%
25 Oct, 18:50 UTC11%
25 Oct, 17:35 UTC10%
25 Oct, 08:32 UTC11%
25 Oct, 00:14 UTC10%
5 Oct, 17:51 UTC9%
4 Oct, 16:19 UTC8%

The story so far

7 publishers have covered this in 13 articles since 28 Oct 2026. Variety published first, on 28 October at 13:38 UTC; Deadline followed 2h 11m later. The most recent article, from Deadline, appeared on 29 October at 16:32 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Deadline, The A.V. Club, Rolling Stone, NME, All Content from Business Insider.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Above 90 — the market puts it at 13%, with $958 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 23 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Tomatometer score for The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping is above 90 on November 23, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
  • Above 100K — the market puts it at 99%, closing 22 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping - The Album streams above 100,000 times during the November 13–19, 2026 tracking week. It resolves to No if the album does not reach that threshold within this specific period.
  • Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m? — the market puts it at 1%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 22 Nov 2026. The market resolves based on the final domestic opening weekend gross for "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" as reported by The Numbers website. You must wait until the figures for November 20–22 are finalized, not just studio estimates, to determine if the total falls between $65 million and $75 million.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Above 90 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. VarietyJennifer Lawrence Says Playing Katniss Again After 11 Years in ‘Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ Was ‘Crazy,’ ‘Unbelievable’ and ‘So Beautiful’11%
  2. DeadlineJennifer Lawrence On Reprising ‘Hunger Games’ Role For ‘Sunrise On The Reaping’: “It Was So Emotional”11%
  3. The Hollywood ReporterJennifer Lawrence Finally Confirms ‘Hunger Games’ Return, Reunites With Two Former Co-Stars11%
  4. The A.V. ClubJennifer Lawrence now openly talking about returning to Katniss role11%
  5. Rolling Stone‘Sunrise on the Reaping’ Reunites Jennifer Lawrence With Woody Harrelson: ‘So Emotional’11%
  6. DeadlineJennifer Lawrence Addresses Being Bravo Superfan Who Uncovered ‘Summer House’ Reunion Leaker: “I Don’t Mind My Own Business”11%
  7. The Hollywood ReporterElle Fanning, Mckenna Grace and Kieran Culkin Get Very Candid About Joining ‘The Hunger Games’ Universe11%
  8. Variety‘The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ First Reactions Call Prequel the ‘Rogue One’ of the Franchise and Praise Joseph Zada as Haymitch14%▲3 points since the previous source
  9. The Hollywood Reporter‘The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ First Reactions18%▲4 points since the previous source
  10. NME‘The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ first reactions call it a franchise best: “More brutal than you could imagine”17%▼1 points since the previous source
  11. Show 3 later sources
    1. All Content from Business InsiderThe best and worst looks the cast of 'The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping' wore to a UK fan screening17%
    2. VarietyOriginal ‘Hunger Games’ Star Elizabeth Banks Praises ‘Sunrise on the Reaping’ as ‘Amazing’: Joseph Zada Is a ‘Perfect’ Haymitch17%
    3. Deadline‘Hunger Games: Sunrise On The Reaping’ Looks Sunny On Tracking With Opening Forecasts Starting At $60M+17%
  12. Current odds13%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Original ‘Hunger Games’ Star Elizabeth Banks Praises ‘Sunrise on the Reaping’ as ‘Amazing’: Joseph Zada Is a ‘Perfect’ Haymitch Variety ·
  2. ‘The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ First Reactions The Hollywood Reporter ·
  3. ‘The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ First Reactions Call Prequel the ‘Rogue One’ of the Franchise and Praise Joseph Zada as Haymitch Variety ·
  4. Elle Fanning, Mckenna Grace and Kieran Culkin Get Very Candid About Joining ‘The Hunger Games’ Universe The Hollywood Reporter ·
  5. Jennifer Lawrence Finally Confirms ‘Hunger Games’ Return, Reunites With Two Former Co-Stars The Hollywood Reporter ·
  6. Jennifer Lawrence Says Playing Katniss Again After 11 Years in ‘Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ Was ‘Crazy,’ ‘Unbelievable’ and ‘So Beautiful’ Variety ·
Show 7 more sources
  1. ‘Hunger Games: Sunrise On The Reaping’ Looks Sunny On Tracking With Opening Forecasts Starting At $60M+ Deadline
  2. The best and worst looks the cast of 'The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping' wore to a UK fan screening All Content from Business Insider
  3. ‘The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ first reactions call it a franchise best: “More brutal than you could imagine” NME
  4. Jennifer Lawrence Addresses Being Bravo Superfan Who Uncovered ‘Summer House’ Reunion Leaker: “I Don’t Mind My Own Business” Deadline
  5. ‘Sunrise on the Reaping’ Reunites Jennifer Lawrence With Woody Harrelson: ‘So Emotional’ Rolling Stone
  6. Jennifer Lawrence now openly talking about returning to Katniss role The A.V. Club
  7. Jennifer Lawrence On Reprising ‘Hunger Games’ Role For ‘Sunrise On The Reaping’: “It Was So Emotional” Deadline

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Above 90 13% −1 $958 24hends 23 Nov 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Above 100K 99% $0 24hends 22 Nov 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m? 1% $1k 24hends 22 Nov 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Jennifer Lawrence
  • Elizabeth Banks
  • Joseph Zada
  • Woody Harrelson
  • Josh Hutcherson
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