Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m?
Implied probability 1%−1
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves22 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 00:49 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 23:47 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 21:00 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 17:26 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 10:41 UTC | 31% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves based on the final domestic opening weekend gross for "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" as reported by The Numbers website. You must wait until the figures for November 20–22 are finalized, not just studio estimates, to determine if the total falls between $65 million and $75 million.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
Trade this market on Polymarket →