Above 90
Implied probability 14%−3
24-hour volume$8k
Total volume$122k
Liquidity$122k
Resolves23 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Oct, 05:44 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Oct, 03:21 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Oct, 00:48 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 18% |
| 28 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 12% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Oct, 17:35 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Tomatometer score for The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping is above 90 on November 23, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%