Two Iranian Men Charged Over Alleged Synagogue Bomb Plot in Manchester

British police have charged two Iranian nationals with plotting a chlorine bomb attack on a Manchester synagogue ahead of Yom Kippur.

5 publishers · 5 articles · first seen 2 Oct 2026 · updated 35d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by News Feed, 4h 30m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	0%
31 Oct, 19:59 UTC	1%
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The story so far

5 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 2 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 2 October at 21:34 UTC; CBS News followed 4h 31m later. The most recent article, from Deutsche Welle, appeared on 3 October at 16:10 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), CBS News (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), ABC News (major outlet), Deutsche Welle.

One prediction market prices this story:

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? — resolved “No” on 1 Nov 2026. The market resolves to "Yes" if the Israeli government officially states that Iran or its proxies deliberately caused the Flydubai pilot stabbing incident by October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The statement must come from an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, such as a Prime Minister or Cabinet Minister.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

2 Oct, 21:34News Feed Two Iranian small-boat migrants charged with plotting attack on Jewish targets in Manchester18%
3 Oct, 02:04CBS News U.K. police accuse 2 Iranian men of planning terror attack on Jewish community16%▼2 points since the previous source
3 Oct, 03:56Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Two Iranians charged over alleged plot targeting Jewish community in UK14%▼1 points since the previous source
3 Oct, 14:54ABC News Prosecutor says 2 Iranian men scouted a UK synagogue for a chlorine bomb plot14%▼1 points since the previous source
3 Oct, 16:10Deutsche Welle UK remands 2 Iranians over alleged antisemitic terror plot14%
1 Nov, 06:15Market resolved: No

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

Resolved Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No 6d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Wrong market?

What's wrong

In this story

Salam Ahmadyan
Rahman Salehi
Iran
Manchester

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