6 stories · 10 markets · RSS
How much the press wrote about Iran each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 7 Nov, 03:39 UTC | 0% |
| 7 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 0% |
| 7 Nov, 02:46 UTC | 0% |
| 7 Nov, 02:09 UTC | 0% |
| 7 Nov, 01:55 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Nov, 23:47 UTC | 23% |
| 6 Nov, 23:19 UTC | 25% |
| 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | 20% |
| 6 Nov, 22:28 UTC | 16% |
| 6 Nov, 21:59 UTC | 21% |
| 6 Nov, 21:23 UTC | 25% |
| 6 Nov, 20:39 UTC | 30% |
| 6 Nov, 19:33 UTC | 28% |
| 6 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 30% |
| 6 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 30% |
| 6 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 30% |
| 6 Nov, 02:22 UTC | 28% |
| 6 Nov, 01:09 UTC | 28% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 28% |
| 6 Nov, 00:20 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 22:32 UTC | 29% |
| 5 Nov, 22:04 UTC | 30% |
| 5 Nov, 21:42 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 30% |
| 5 Nov, 16:21 UTC | 31% |
| 5 Nov, 15:41 UTC | 31% |
| 5 Nov, 12:37 UTC | 32% |
| 5 Nov, 12:29 UTC | 31% |
| 5 Nov, 11:11 UTC | 30% |
| 5 Nov, 10:02 UTC | 30% |
| 5 Nov, 09:33 UTC | 30% |
| 5 Nov, 07:02 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 06:33 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 05:30 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 03:08 UTC | 29% |
| 5 Nov, 02:54 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 01:49 UTC | 31% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 31% |
| 5 Nov, 00:44 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Nov, 23:40 UTC | 30% |
| 4 Nov, 21:42 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Nov, 20:30 UTC | 30% |
| 4 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Nov, 15:58 UTC | 30% |
| 4 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Nov, 14:23 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Nov, 13:02 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Nov, 12:24 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Nov, 11:54 UTC | 28% |
The US military conducts limited strikes on Iranian targets in the Strait of Hormuz, including an air defense system on Qeshm Island, as diplomatic efforts continue.
Qatari mediators push for an agreement as President Trump weighs a decision on further military action against Iran.
Tehran proposes reopening the vital shipping lane in exchange for sanctions relief, while South Korea expands naval patrols under US pressure.
The US military and State Department offer up to $20 million for details on Iranian nuclear facilities, equipment, and personnel.
Polymarket Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? 11% −1The US Treasury imposed sanctions on an Indian couple and nine firms for allegedly helping Iranian tankers evade restrictions by faking ship registries.
The official delivers a letter from Mojtaba Khamenei to discuss regional security.
Resolved Putin meets with Iranian officials by November 15? Yes 28h ago Required. We use your browser's storage to remember this choice, your light or dark
setting and the topics you follow, and a sign-in cookie (nm_reader) only if you make a call
on a market. None of it is used for tracking.
Accept all also lets Google Analytics set cookies (_ga, _ga_*)
so we can count visits and see which pages are read. With Accept required, Google
Analytics sets no cookies, though Google may still receive a basic page-view signal without them.