Thomas Jefferson Letter Warning Against Trump’s Policies Goes on Sale
A 1787 handwritten letter by Thomas Jefferson advising on national prosperity is being sold, containing prescient warnings against Donald Trump's current political missteps.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 19% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 26 Sept 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 26 September at 11:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before Election Day — the market puts it at 19%, with $125 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump announces his intention to run for U.S. President in 2028 before November 7, 2028. The outcome is No if he does not make such an announcement by that date. Readers often mistake the sale of a Thomas Jefferson letter for the relevant event, but only Trump's specific announcement counts toward resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
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- Kalshi Before Election Day 19%
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In this story
- Thomas Jefferson
- Donald Trump
- David Rittenhouse