Phillies to Start Aaron Nola on Two Days' Rest Against Tampa Bay
The Philadelphia Phillies will start pitcher Aaron Nola on short rest against the Tampa Bay Rays in a must-win NL wild card race game.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 96% |
| 14 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 12:40 UTC | 89% |
| 14 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 97% |
| 14 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 69% |
| 14 Oct, 01:08 UTC | 69% |
| 13 Oct, 23:53 UTC | 64% |
| 13 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 61% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 60% |
| 13 Oct, 20:13 UTC | 67% |
| 13 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 58% |
| 13 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 32% |
| 13 Oct, 16:11 UTC | 28% |
| 13 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 24% |
| 13 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 11% |
| 12 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 22% |
| 12 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 24% |
| 12 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 27% |
| 10 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 25% |
| 9 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 26% |
| 8 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 15% |
| 8 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 22% |
| 8 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 19% |
| 8 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 29% |
| 8 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 25% |
| 7 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 17% |
| 7 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 18% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 13% |
| 7 Oct, 11:34 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 12% |
| 7 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 7% |
| 5 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 07:19 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 05:04 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 04:51 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 12% |
| 2 Oct, 14:28 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Oct, 06:50 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 15% |
| 25 Sept, 11:29 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Sept, 15:25 UTC | 66% |
| 23 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 15% |
| 22 Sept, 13:13 UTC | 12% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Don Mattingly respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 26 Sept 2026. SI Feed published first, on 26 September at 20:48 UTC; www.espn.com followed 2h 06m later. The most recent article, from www.espn.com, appeared on 26 September at 22:53 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Don Mattingly — resolved “Yes” on 14 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Don Mattingly becomes the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies. The outcome is No if he does not hold that specific role. Readers often mistake interim coaches or managers of other teams for this resolution.
- Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? — resolved “Yes” on 28 Sept 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Philadelphia Phillies officially secure a playoff berth in the 2026 MLB season. It resolves to No if the team is mathematically eliminated or if the playoffs are cancelled or delayed past October 31, 2026. Readers often mistake regular-season tiebreaker games for the actual playoffs, but these do not count toward clinching a spot.
- Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series? — resolved “No” on 2 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series and No if they do not. The outcome depends on official results from Major League Baseball or credible reporting consensus. Readers often mistake the end of the regular season for the deadline, but the series must be completed to determine a winner.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Don Mattingly at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Don Mattingly Yes 24d ago
The market favoured No at 89% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes 40d ago
The market favoured Yes at 60% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series? No 36d ago
The market favoured No at 92% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Aaron Nola
- Philadelphia Phillies
- Don Mattingly
- Tampa Bay