Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Why it moved: −4 points at 21:54 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Braves Beat Phillies, Box Score Stats, Highlights & Updated Bracket After 2026 MLB Wild Card Game 1 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 19:09 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 18:07 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 11:47 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 11:11 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 06:27 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 05:45 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 03:06 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 02:36 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 01:16 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 00:32 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 00:18 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 22:02 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Sept, 04:53 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 20:22 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 15:45 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Sept, 13:22 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Sept, 01:24 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Sept, 23:17 UTC | 6% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series and No if they do not. The outcome depends on official results from Major League Baseball or credible reporting consensus. Readers often mistake the end of the regular season for the deadline, but the series must be completed to determine a winner.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%
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