Pedro Pascal Stars in Tony Gilroy’s 'Behemoth!' at New York Film Festival
The film, about a cellist's midlife crisis, premiered at the festival as Gilroy's first feature since 2012.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 58% |
| 6 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 58% |
| 3 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 55% |
| 3 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 24% |
| 3 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 61% |
| 3 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 54% |
| 2 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 46% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Behemoth! respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 11 articles since 1 Oct 2026. Variety published first, on 1 October at 19:15 UTC; The A.V. Club followed 24h 12m later. The most recent article, from Variety, appeared on 4 October at 16:15 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), The A.V. Club, Deadline, IndieWire.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Behemoth! — the market puts it at 58%, with $34 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film "Behemoth!" receives a nomination for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if it does not receive this specific nomination. Readers often mistake the submission of the song "Your God Is Sleeping" for a nomination, but only an official nomination counts.
- Behemoth — the market puts it at 24%, with $4 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film Behemoth receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if the film does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake the submission of the film for an Oscar as sufficient, but only an official nomination counts.
- Pedro Pascal — the market puts it at 21%, with $530 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Pedro Pascal receives a nomination for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the film's festival premiere or release date for the nomination deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Behemoth! at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Variety‘Behemoth!,’ Starring Pedro Pascal, to Close Newport Beach Film Festival46%
- The A.V. ClubTony Gilroy says he's never written a character like Pedro Pascal's in Behemoth!51%▲5 points since the previous source
- The Hollywood Reporter‘Behemoth!’ Review: Pedro Pascal Hints at Soulful Depths, but the Drama Keeps Stalling in Tony Gilroy’s Wan Character Study of a Virtuoso Cellist51%
- Deadline‘Behemoth!’ Review: Pedro Pascal Hits All The Right Notes In Tony Gilroy’s Lyrical Love Letter To The Music Of The Movies – New York Film Festival51%
- Variety‘Behemoth!’ Review: Pedro Pascal Is a Classical Cellist Skating Through a Midlife Crisis in Tony Gilroy’s Elevated Bauble of a Music Drama51%
- IndieWire‘Behemoth!’ Review: Pedro Pascal Plays a Wayward Cellist in Tony Gilroy’s Movingly Atonal Character Study About How People Conduct Themselves51%
- DeadlinePedro Pascal Was Surprised Tony Gilroy Made ‘Behemoth!’ “So Intimate And Healing”: “I Thought You Were Gonna Be Mean”61%▲10 points since the previous source
- IndieWireWill ‘Behemoth!’ Push Pedro Pascal Into Oscar Contention?61%
- Variety‘Behemoth!’: Why Tony Gilroy Needed Nine Composers to Score His Latest Film, and a Guide to Who Did What in the Film (EXCLUSIVE)55%▼6 points since the previous source
- VarietyPedro Pascal Premieres ‘Behemoth!’ in NYC, Sarah Jessica Parker and Stevie Nicks Make a Fashionable Pair and More Red Carpet Photos: October 202627%▼28 points since the previous source
- VarietyPedro Pascal in ‘Behemoth!’: The Oscar-Worthy Role That He (and Latinos) Have Been Waiting For27%
- Current odds58%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Pedro Pascal in ‘Behemoth!’: The Oscar-Worthy Role That He (and Latinos) Have Been Waiting For Variety ·
- Pedro Pascal Premieres ‘Behemoth!’ in NYC, Sarah Jessica Parker and Stevie Nicks Make a Fashionable Pair and More Red Carpet Photos: October 2026 Variety ·
- ‘Behemoth!’: Why Tony Gilroy Needed Nine Composers to Score His Latest Film, and a Guide to Who Did What in the Film (EXCLUSIVE) Variety ·
- ‘Behemoth!’ Review: Pedro Pascal Is a Classical Cellist Skating Through a Midlife Crisis in Tony Gilroy’s Elevated Bauble of a Music Drama Variety ·
- ‘Behemoth!’ Review: Pedro Pascal Hints at Soulful Depths, but the Drama Keeps Stalling in Tony Gilroy’s Wan Character Study of a Virtuoso Cellist The Hollywood Reporter ·
- ‘Behemoth!,’ Starring Pedro Pascal, to Close Newport Beach Film Festival Variety ·
Show 5 more sources
- Will ‘Behemoth!’ Push Pedro Pascal Into Oscar Contention? IndieWire
- Pedro Pascal Was Surprised Tony Gilroy Made ‘Behemoth!’ “So Intimate And Healing”: “I Thought You Were Gonna Be Mean” Deadline
- ‘Behemoth!’ Review: Pedro Pascal Plays a Wayward Cellist in Tony Gilroy’s Movingly Atonal Character Study About How People Conduct Themselves IndieWire
- ‘Behemoth!’ Review: Pedro Pascal Hits All The Right Notes In Tony Gilroy’s Lyrical Love Letter To The Music Of The Movies – New York Film Festival Deadline
- Tony Gilroy says he's never written a character like Pedro Pascal's in Behemoth! The A.V. Club
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Behemoth! 58% +31
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Behemoth 24% −5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Pedro Pascal 21% −3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Pedro Pascal
- Tony Gilroy
- Behemoth!
- New York Film Festival