Behemoth
Implied probability 29%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$17k
Liquidity$17k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 29% |
| 4 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 29% |
| 4 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 27% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 25% |
| 3 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 26% |
| 3 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Oct, 03:06 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Oct, 22:16 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 40% |
| 2 Oct, 12:37 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Oct, 19:48 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 15:11 UTC | 39% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the film Behemoth receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if the film does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake the submission of the film for an Oscar as sufficient, but only an official nomination counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 29%
- No 71%