Oura’s $2.2bn IPO Is Four Times Oversubscribed
The health ring maker's initial public offering draws orders for approximately four times the available shares.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 20% |
| 1 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Sept, 23:06 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Sept, 19:09 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Sept, 18:14 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 12:45 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Sept, 10:07 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 08:50 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 06:13 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Sept, 05:38 UTC | 29% |
| 30 Sept, 04:20 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 01:01 UTC | 29% |
| 30 Sept, 00:40 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 00:03 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Sept, 14:53 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 12:26 UTC | 11% |
| 29 Sept, 11:28 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 99% |
| 24 Sept, 18:48 UTC | 97% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 25 Sept 2026. Bloomberg.com published first, on 25 September at 19:32 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Oura — the market puts it at 20%, with $568 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Oura confirms an initial public offering before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the news headline about oversubscription for a confirmation of the IPO itself.
- Before Oct 1, 2026 — resolved “No” on 1 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Oura Health Oy confirms an initial public offering before October 1, 2026. It resolves to No if the company does not confirm an IPO by that date. Readers often mistake the news headline about oversubscription for a confirmation of the IPO itself.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Oura 20% +4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Before Oct 1, 2026 No 37d ago
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Oura Inc.