Oura
Implied probability 17%−3
24-hour volume$338
Total volume$34k
Liquidity$34k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 17% |
| 2 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Oct, 02:05 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Oct, 23:32 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 22:33 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 17% |
| 1 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Sept, 23:06 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Sept, 19:09 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Sept, 18:14 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 12:45 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Sept, 10:07 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 08:50 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 06:13 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Sept, 05:38 UTC | 29% |
| 30 Sept, 04:20 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 01:01 UTC | 29% |
| 30 Sept, 00:40 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 00:03 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Sept, 14:53 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 12:26 UTC | 11% |
| 29 Sept, 11:28 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 99% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Oura confirms an initial public offering before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the news headline about oversubscription for a confirmation of the IPO itself.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 17%
- No 83%