Nscale in Talks for $45 Billion AI Computing Deal With Anthropic
The Nvidia-backed firm is negotiating a massive cloud computing agreement with Anthropic while facing investor pushback on its IPO valuation.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Bloomberg Technology, 1h 43m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 08:35 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 04:21 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 06:35 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 14:32 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 12:32 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 11:47 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 16:09 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 13:36 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 17:31 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 07:08 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Oct, 10:08 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 06:03 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 02:04 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 16:09 UTC | 0% |
| 9 Oct, 10:40 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 19:48 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 11:18 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 09:31 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Sept, 23:52 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Sept, 23:16 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Sept, 22:44 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Sept, 22:27 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Sept, 21:12 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Sept, 07:17 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Sept, 22:05 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 1% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? respond.
The story so far
8 publishers have covered this in 25 articles since 16 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Technology published first, on 16 October at 10:27 UTC; Quartz followed 1h 43m later. The most recent article, from Times of India, appeared on 26 October at 02:18 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), CoinDesk (major outlet), TechCrunch (major outlet), Quartz, BBC Business, theinformation.com, Times of India.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — the market puts it at 0%, with $14k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. Microsoft must hold the highest global market capitalization at the exact moment the stock market closes on December 31, 2026. The final ranking depends on verified financial data from trusted news sources rather than real-time fluctuations. Readers often mistake the date of the linked article for the resolution deadline.
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? — resolved “No” on 31 Oct 2026. Microsoft must hold the highest global market capitalization at the end of trading on October 31, 2026, for the Yes outcome to occur. Any other company taking that lead by that specific time results in a No outcome. Readers often mistake the resolution source for an official government registry rather than a consensus of credible financial reporting.
- Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? — resolved “Yes” on 31 Oct 2026. For the Yes outcome, Microsoft must hold the third-largest market capitalization among all global companies at the market close on October 31, 2026. For the No outcome, any other company holds that position at that specific time. Readers often mistake the linked story about Nscale and Anthropic as relevant to the ranking, but only Microsoft's actual market cap relative to others matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg TechnologyNscale IPO: Data Center Delays Show Risks for the Neoclouds0%
- QuartzNscale's flagship Norway data center is running 6 months late ahead of its IPO0%
- Bloomberg TechnologyMicrosoft Scraps UK Data Center Deal With Nscale, Telegraph Says0%
- News FeedMicrosoft pulls plug on Nscale data centre deal0%
- BBC BusinessMicrosoft pulls out of UK's largest AI data centre0%
- theinformation.comMicrosoft Pulls Out of Nscale U.K. Data Center Following Delays0%
- Bloomberg TechnologyNscale Faces Pushback on $30 Billion IPO Valuation0%
- CoinDeskBitcoin mining offshoot Nscale loses Microsoft AI deal as power delay stretches into 2030s0%
- QuartzNscale is facing investor pushback on its $30 billion IPO valuation target0%
- QuartzMicrosoft pulled out of a U.K. data center deal, clouding Nscale's IPO hopes0%
Show 15 later sources
- Bloomberg.comBloomberg Tech: Nscale’s $30B IPO Ambition (Podcast)0%
- Bloomberg TechnologyAI Firm Nscale Faces Investor Pushback Over IPO Valuation0%
- Bloomberg TechnologyNscale, Anthropic in Talks for $45 Billion Cloud Computing Deal0%
- TechCrunchNscale and Anthropic are reportedly in talks for yet another $45 billion compute deal0%
- News FeedMicrosoft gives data centre hopefuls a pre-IPO reality check0%
- Bloomberg TechnologyAnthropic in Talks for $45B Nscale Cloud Computing Deal0%
- QuartzNscale is in talks with Anthropic for a second $45 billion AI computing deal1%
- Bloomberg TechnologyNScale, Anthropic in Talks for $45B AI Computing Deal1%
- Times of IndiaMicrosoft says ‘not possible’ to Nscale as UK data centre delays mount1%
- News FeedNscale boss seeks to reassure staff amid AI market jitters1%
- Bloomberg MarketsNscale CEO Touts Doubling of Contract Value in Note to Employees1%
- Bloomberg MarketsAnthropic, Nscale IPOs Await Amid AI Volatility1%
- Bloomberg TechnologyNscale Sued in Norway for Labor Violations at Data Center Site1%
- Times of IndiaEngineer sues Nscale ahead of NYSE listing over wrongful termination claim0%
- Times of IndiaMicrosoft tells UK data centre developer ‘not possible’ as power supply delayed to 20301%
- Current odds0%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Nscale Sued in Norway for Labor Violations at Data Center Site Bloomberg Technology ·
- Anthropic, Nscale IPOs Await Amid AI Volatility Bloomberg Markets ·
- Nscale CEO Touts Doubling of Contract Value in Note to Employees Bloomberg Markets ·
- Nscale boss seeks to reassure staff amid AI market jitters News Feed ·
- NScale, Anthropic in Talks for $45B AI Computing Deal Bloomberg Technology ·
- Anthropic in Talks for $45B Nscale Cloud Computing Deal Bloomberg Technology ·
Show 19 more sources
- Microsoft gives data centre hopefuls a pre-IPO reality check News Feed ·
- Nscale and Anthropic are reportedly in talks for yet another $45 billion compute deal TechCrunch ·
- Nscale, Anthropic in Talks for $45 Billion Cloud Computing Deal Bloomberg Technology ·
- AI Firm Nscale Faces Investor Pushback Over IPO Valuation Bloomberg Technology ·
- Bloomberg Tech: Nscale’s $30B IPO Ambition (Podcast) Bloomberg.com ·
- Bitcoin mining offshoot Nscale loses Microsoft AI deal as power delay stretches into 2030s CoinDesk ·
- Nscale Faces Pushback on $30 Billion IPO Valuation Bloomberg Technology ·
- Microsoft pulls plug on Nscale data centre deal News Feed ·
- Microsoft Scraps UK Data Center Deal With Nscale, Telegraph Says Bloomberg Technology ·
- Nscale IPO: Data Center Delays Show Risks for the Neoclouds Bloomberg Technology ·
- Microsoft tells UK data centre developer ‘not possible’ as power supply delayed to 2030 Times of India
- Engineer sues Nscale ahead of NYSE listing over wrongful termination claim Times of India
- Microsoft says ‘not possible’ to Nscale as UK data centre delays mount Times of India
- Nscale is in talks with Anthropic for a second $45 billion AI computing deal Quartz
- Microsoft pulled out of a U.K. data center deal, clouding Nscale's IPO hopes Quartz
- Nscale is facing investor pushback on its $30 billion IPO valuation target Quartz
- Microsoft Pulls Out of Nscale U.K. Data Center Following Delays theinformation.com
- Microsoft pulls out of UK's largest AI data centre BBC Business
- Nscale's flagship Norway data center is running 6 months late ahead of its IPO Quartz
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No 7d ago
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? Yes 7d ago
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?