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How much the press wrote about Microsoft each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 20:20 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 17:06 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 16:21 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 12:44 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 12:29 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 11:41 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 10:46 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 09:33 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 23:25 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 22:27 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 21:58 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 19:12 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 08:35 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 04:21 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 06:35 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 0% |
Executives warn that political opposition to infrastructure is reshaping the industry, though some firms still forecast growth.
Polymarket Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? 0%Voters overwhelmingly rejected data center projects in dozens of ballot measures across ten states during the midterm elections.
Microsoft unveils a faster Xbox PC app and enables the new Xbox Nano controller to connect directly to cloud gaming via Wi-Fi.
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