North Korea to resume propaganda broadcasts along border with South Korea
Kim Yo-jong announces the restart of anti-Seoul loudspeaker campaigns within days, escalating tensions amid rising hostility between the two nations.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 04:25 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 01:38 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 00:04 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 22:35 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 17:04 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 12:36 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 10:31 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 23:20 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 22:04 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 10:31 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 10:09 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 05:32 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 00:45 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 23:00 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 14:39 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 12:14 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 11:01 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 10:17 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 04:52 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 23:07 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 22:59 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 18:59 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 16:34 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 16:27 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 15:30 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 15:23 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 14:10 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 13:53 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 12:39 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 10:42 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 09:25 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 06:48 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 5% |
| 19 Oct, 05:45 UTC | 3% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? respond.
The story so far
8 publishers have covered this in 8 articles since 20 Oct 2026. Times of India published first, on 20 October at 05:17 UTC; BBC News followed 6h 28m later. The most recent article, from NPR World, appeared on 22 October at 06:36 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: ABC News (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), NPR World (major outlet), Times of India, BBC News, South China Morning Post, Sky News.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 5%, with $59k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Kim Jong Un stops being Supreme Leader at any point before December 31, 2026, including through resignation, removal, detention, or permanent inability to perform his duties. A public announcement of his departure before the deadline triggers an immediate Yes resolution, even if the change takes effect later.
- Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? — the market puts it at 3%, with $6k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if Kim Jong Un permanently ceases to hold his office before January 1, 2027. Temporary removals, caretaker roles, or announced resignations do not count toward this result. Readers often mistake the deadline as the end of 2027, but the market resolves at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31? — the market puts it at 12%, with $53 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if North and South Korea hold an official meeting or communication between government representatives without third-party mediation by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The talks can be in-person, phone-based, or virtual but must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Times of IndiaKim Jong Un photos released to dismiss rumours of coma, takeover by sister3%
- BBC NewsNorth Korea publishes photos of Kim Jong Un - why do rumours of his death keep coming back?6%▲2 points since the previous source
- ABC NewsNorth Korean leader's sister inspects fortifications as tensions rise with the South5%▼1 points since the previous source
- The GuardianNorth Korea prepares to restart propaganda loudspeakers as ties sour with South5%
- South China Morning PostWhat Kim Yo-jong’s border warnings reveal about inter-Korean escalation risk5%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraNorth Korea to resume propaganda broadcasts, South Korea urges dialogue5%
- Sky NewsNorth Korea plans to resume propaganda broadcasts along border with South Korea5%
- NPR WorldNorth Korea says it will resume propaganda broadcasts across border into South Korea5%
- Current odds5%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- North Korea says it will resume propaganda broadcasts across border into South Korea NPR World ·
- North Korea to resume propaganda broadcasts, South Korea urges dialogue Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- North Korea prepares to restart propaganda loudspeakers as ties sour with South The Guardian ·
- North Korean leader's sister inspects fortifications as tensions rise with the South ABC News ·
- North Korea plans to resume propaganda broadcasts along border with South Korea Sky News
- What Kim Yo-jong’s border warnings reveal about inter-Korean escalation risk South China Morning Post
- North Korea publishes photos of Kim Jong Un - why do rumours of his death keep coming back? BBC News
- Kim Jong Un photos released to dismiss rumours of coma, takeover by sister Times of India
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? 5%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? 3%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31? 12% +4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- North Korea
- South Korea
- Kim Yo-jong
- Kim Jong Un