Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?
Implied probability 12%+5
24-hour volume$53
Total volume$39k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 23 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Oct, 19:03 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 16:19 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 12:36 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 10:53 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Oct, 10:02 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 9% |
| 21 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if North and South Korea hold an official meeting or communication between government representatives without third-party mediation by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The talks can be in-person, phone-based, or virtual but must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 12%
- No 89%
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