I Play Rocky celebrates Sylvester Stallone's screenwriting triumph
Peter Farrelly’s new film depicts the making of the 1976 classic, starring Anthony Ippolito as a young Stallone.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 42% |
| 7 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 42% |
| 7 Nov, 03:52 UTC | 40% |
| 7 Nov, 00:30 UTC | 42% |
| 6 Nov, 23:26 UTC | 40% |
| 6 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 42% |
| 6 Nov, 12:37 UTC | 41% |
| 5 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 37% |
| 5 Nov, 17:35 UTC | 38% |
| 5 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 42% |
| 5 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 43% |
| 5 Nov, 03:58 UTC | 42% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 39% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 43% |
| 4 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 48% |
| 4 Nov, 15:13 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Nov, 12:24 UTC | 44% |
| 4 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 49% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 48% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 48% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 47% |
| 4 Nov, 01:20 UTC | 48% |
| 4 Nov, 00:36 UTC | 48% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 49% |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | 52% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Nov, 19:06 UTC | 49% |
| 3 Nov, 18:21 UTC | 55% |
| 3 Nov, 09:13 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Nov, 04:01 UTC | 51% |
| 2 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 54% |
| 2 Nov, 19:04 UTC | 53% |
| 1 Nov, 18:02 UTC | 52% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch I Play Rocky respond.
The story so far
7 publishers have covered this in 11 articles since 2 Nov 2026. The Hollywood Reporter published first, on 2 November at 18:57 UTC; IndieWire followed 19h 02m later. The most recent article, from All Content from Business Insider, appeared on 6 November at 19:12 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), The Guardian Culture (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), Features – IndieWire, The A.V. Club, All Content from Business Insider.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- I Play Rocky — the market puts it at 42%, with $273 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film "I Play Rocky" receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the Golden Globes nomination for the deciding factor, but only an Oscar nomination counts.
- I Play Rocky — the market puts it at 1%, closing 10 Jan 2028. The outcome is Yes if the film "I Play Rocky" wins the Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the award category, as only the specific "Musical or Comedy" win counts.
- I Play Rocky — the market puts it at 2%, closing 10 Jan 2028. The outcome is Yes if the film 'I Play Rocky' wins the award for Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the category; the film must win in the Drama category, not Comedy.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on I Play Rocky at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Hollywood ReporterGolden Globes: ‘I Play Rocky’ Submitted as Comedy (Exclusive)52%
- IndieWireBefore He Played Sylvester Stallone in ‘I Play Rocky,’ Star Anthony Ippolito Fought Hard for His Own Big Break48%▼4 points since the previous source
- The A.V. ClubPeter Farrelly comes out swinging with the unexpected crowdpleaser I Play Rocky43%▼5 points since the previous source
- The Guardian CultureI Play Rocky review – Anthony Ippolito adds knockout sweetness to the story of Stallone’s Hollywood triumph42%▼1 points since the previous source
- IndieWireI Remember ‘Rocky’: My Front Row Seat to the Marketing of a Million-to-One Blockbuster42%
- News FeedSylvester Stallone origin story I Play Rocky is a sly ode to the underdog42%
- The New York Times‘I Play Rocky’ Review: He’s a Champion42%
- The Guardian CultureRocky review – 50 years on Stallone’s boxer remains a gritty contender37%▼5 points since the previous source
- Features – IndieWire‘I Play Rocky’ Celebrates Sylvester Stallone the Screenwriter — but Rocky Balboa Was Only the Beginning42%▲5 points since the previous source
- The A.V. ClubSylvester Stallone is still desperately trying to curate his public image, on and off screen42%
- All Content from Business InsiderHow the cast of 'I Play Rocky' compares to the real-life people they're playing42%
- Current odds42%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Rocky review – 50 years on Stallone’s boxer remains a gritty contender The Guardian Culture ·
- ‘I Play Rocky’ Review: He’s a Champion The New York Times ·
- Sylvester Stallone origin story I Play Rocky is a sly ode to the underdog News Feed ·
- I Play Rocky review – Anthony Ippolito adds knockout sweetness to the story of Stallone’s Hollywood triumph The Guardian Culture ·
- Golden Globes: ‘I Play Rocky’ Submitted as Comedy (Exclusive) The Hollywood Reporter ·
- How the cast of 'I Play Rocky' compares to the real-life people they're playing All Content from Business Insider
Show 5 more sources
- Sylvester Stallone is still desperately trying to curate his public image, on and off screen The A.V. Club
- ‘I Play Rocky’ Celebrates Sylvester Stallone the Screenwriter — but Rocky Balboa Was Only the Beginning Features – IndieWire
- I Remember ‘Rocky’: My Front Row Seat to the Marketing of a Million-to-One Blockbuster IndieWire
- Peter Farrelly comes out swinging with the unexpected crowdpleaser I Play Rocky The A.V. Club
- Before He Played Sylvester Stallone in ‘I Play Rocky,’ Star Anthony Ippolito Fought Hard for His Own Big Break IndieWire
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi I Play Rocky 42% +5
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- Kalshi I Play Rocky 1%
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- Kalshi I Play Rocky 2%
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In this story
- Sylvester Stallone
- Anthony Ippolito
- Peter Farrelly
- Rocky
- I Play Rocky