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I Play Rocky

Implied probability 42%+5
24-hour volume$273
Total volume$43k
Liquidity$43k
Resolves31 Dec 2027

Why it moved: +4 points at 12:37 UTC, after The Guardian Culture: Rocky review – 50 years on Stallone’s boxer remains a gritty contender — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · I Play Rocky
0%50%100%42%1 Nov, 18:02 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now42%
7 Nov, 04:26 UTC42%
7 Nov, 03:52 UTC40%
7 Nov, 00:30 UTC42%
6 Nov, 23:26 UTC40%
6 Nov, 14:18 UTC42%
6 Nov, 12:37 UTC41%
5 Nov, 20:56 UTC37%
5 Nov, 17:35 UTC38%
5 Nov, 05:09 UTC42%
5 Nov, 04:26 UTC43%
5 Nov, 03:58 UTC42%
5 Nov, 01:28 UTC39%
4 Nov, 17:20 UTC43%
4 Nov, 16:57 UTC48%
4 Nov, 15:13 UTC45%
4 Nov, 12:24 UTC44%
4 Nov, 05:02 UTC49%
4 Nov, 04:25 UTC48%
4 Nov, 03:26 UTC48%
4 Nov, 01:57 UTC47%
4 Nov, 01:20 UTC48%
4 Nov, 00:36 UTC48%
4 Nov, 00:29 UTC49%
3 Nov, 22:41 UTC52%
3 Nov, 21:26 UTC48%
3 Nov, 19:57 UTC53%
3 Nov, 19:06 UTC49%
3 Nov, 18:21 UTC55%
3 Nov, 09:13 UTC48%
3 Nov, 04:01 UTC51%
2 Nov, 23:51 UTC54%
2 Nov, 19:04 UTC53%
1 Nov, 18:02 UTC52%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if the film "I Play Rocky" receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the Golden Globes nomination for the deciding factor, but only an Oscar nomination counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 42%
  • No 58%

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