Ben Hardy To Lead Amazon's 'Stillwater' Series Adaptation
The actor stars as Daniel West in the eight-episode Prime Video adaptation of the Skybound graphic novel.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
All 2 sources published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 1% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 28 Sept 2026. Variety published first, on 28 September at 17:00 UTC. The most recent article, from Deadline, appeared on 28 September at 17:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), Deadline.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond? — the market puts it at 0%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if an actor is officially announced as the next James Bond by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The resolution relies on the first official announcement from Amazon MGM Studios or a consensus of credible reporting. Readers often mistake any casting news for this specific role, but only the confirmation of the next James Bond actor counts.
- Tom Hardy — the market puts it at 1%, with $935 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2030. The market resolves to Yes if Tom Hardy is officially cast as the next James Bond before January 1, 2030. It resolves to No if that specific casting does not occur by that deadline. Readers often mistake other actors' roles or unrelated news stories for a valid resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Tom Hardy 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Ben Hardy
- Amazon Prime Video
- Skybound Entertainment
- Warner Bros. Television
- Berlanti Productions