Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$27k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 02:05 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 01:51 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Oct, 16:36 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 0% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if an actor is officially announced as the next James Bond by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The resolution relies on the first official announcement from Amazon MGM Studios or a consensus of credible reporting. Readers often mistake any casting news for this specific role, but only the confirmation of the next James Bond actor counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
Trade this market on Polymarket →