Final James Bond Screen Tests Set for This Weekend as Amazon Nears Decision

The story so far

6 publishers have covered this in 10 articles since 22 Oct 2026. Deadline published first, on 22 October at 14:29 UTC; Movies | Hollywood Reporter followed 10 min later. The most recent article, from The Hollywood Reporter, appeared on 24 October at 16:48 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Variety (major outlet), The Guardian Culture (major outlet), Deadline, The A.V. Club, BBC Entertainment.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• No one announced as next James Bond? — the market puts it at 17%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if an actor is officially announced as the next James Bond by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The resolution relies on the first official announcement from Amazon MGM Studios or a consensus of credible reporting. Readers often mistake the deadline for the casting process itself rather than the specific date and time of the public announcement.
• Callum Turner — the market puts it at 33%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2030. The market resolves to Yes if Callum Turner is officially cast as the next James Bond before January 1, 2030. It resolves to No if that specific casting does not occur by the deadline. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Amazon's decision process for the actual confirmation of his role.
• Dua Lipa — the market puts it at 23%, with $41 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2035. The outcome is Yes if Dua Lipa performs the James Bond film theme. The outcome is No if she does not perform the theme. Readers often mistake the deadline for the Amazon decision as the resolution trigger, but only her actual performance matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.