Austin Riley's Clutch Homer Lifts Braves Past Phillies in Wild Card Opener
Austin Riley hits a three-run homer to lead the Atlanta Braves to a 5-3 victory over the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 1 of their National League Wild Card Series.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 42% |
| 29 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 43% |
| 29 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 43% |
| 29 Sept, 09:37 UTC | 44% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 43% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 29 Sept 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 29 September at 21:23 UTC; SI Feed followed 47 min later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 29 September at 22:10 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) — resolved “Atlanta Braves” on 29 Sept 2026. The Atlanta Braves outcome occurs only if they win the game by two runs or more. The Philadelphia Phillies outcome applies if they win, if the game ends in a tie, or if the Braves do not cover the spread. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution; the market stays open until the postponed game is actually completed, not just when the original start time passes.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves — resolved “Philadelphia Phillies” on 30 Sept 2026. The market resolves to Philadelphia Phillies if they win the game and Atlanta Braves if they win. It stays open if the game is postponed but closes immediately if it ends in a tie or cancels without a make-up game. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the final result, but only the official MLB statistics determine the winner.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves — resolved “Atlanta Braves” on 29 Sept 2026. The Philadelphia Phillies outcome wins if they win the game, and the Atlanta Braves outcome wins if they win. The market stays open if the game is postponed until it finishes. Readers often mistake the pitching announcement for the final result, but only the official winner counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Atlanta Braves 38d ago
The market favoured Philadelphia Phillies at 56% a day out, but Atlanta Braves won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Philadelphia Phillies 37d ago
The market favoured Philadelphia Phillies at 52% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 38d ago
The market favoured Atlanta Braves at 64% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Riley
- Braves
- Phillies
- Austin Riley
- Jhoan Duran