Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
The market favoured Philadelphia Phillies at 56% a day out, but Atlanta Braves won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$89k
Total volume$89k
Liquidity$160k
Resolved6 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 42% |
| 29 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 43% |
| 29 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 43% |
| 29 Sept, 09:37 UTC | 44% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 43% |
What counts
The Atlanta Braves outcome occurs only if they win the game by two runs or more. The Philadelphia Phillies outcome applies if they win, if the game ends in a tie, or if the Braves do not cover the spread. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution; the market stays open until the postponed game is actually completed, not just when the original start time passes.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Atlanta Braves 100%
- Philadelphia Phillies 0%
View this market on Polymarket →