Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
The market favoured Philadelphia Phillies at 52% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$3.0M
Total volume$386
Liquidity$13k
Resolved7 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 30 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 91% |
| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 41% |
| 30 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 52% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Sept, 00:03 UTC | 53% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 52% |
| 28 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 49% |
What counts
The market resolves to Philadelphia Phillies if they win the game and Atlanta Braves if they win. It stays open if the game is postponed but closes immediately if it ends in a tie or cancels without a make-up game. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the final result, but only the official MLB statistics determine the winner.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies 100%
- Atlanta Braves 0%
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