Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
The market favoured Atlanta Braves at 64% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$1.2M
Total volume$32k
Liquidity$213k
Resolved6 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 29 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 29% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 59% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 43% |
| 29 Sept, 18:05 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 37% |
What counts
The Philadelphia Phillies outcome wins if they win the game, and the Atlanta Braves outcome wins if they win. The market stays open if the game is postponed until it finishes. Readers often mistake the pitching announcement for the final result, but only the official winner counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Philadelphia Phillies 0%
- Atlanta Braves 100%
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