Anthropic Targets Mid-November IPO as Investors Weigh AI Risks

Anthropic aims for a mid-November public listing, drawing strong institutional interest despite valuation concerns and fears over rogue AI risks.

15 publishers · 45 articles · first seen 29 Sept 2026 · updated 29d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	90%
1 Nov, 06:01 UTC	90%
1 Nov, 05:40 UTC	90%
1 Nov, 03:12 UTC	89%
1 Nov, 00:07 UTC	88%
31 Oct, 21:39 UTC	87%
31 Oct, 21:24 UTC	86%
31 Oct, 19:02 UTC	87%
31 Oct, 18:55 UTC	86%
31 Oct, 18:04 UTC	87%
31 Oct, 12:40 UTC	88%
31 Oct, 12:11 UTC	89%
31 Oct, 11:42 UTC	90%
31 Oct, 11:28 UTC	91%
31 Oct, 10:52 UTC	90%
31 Oct, 07:04 UTC	90%
31 Oct, 04:35 UTC	90%
31 Oct, 04:14 UTC	89%
31 Oct, 02:40 UTC	89%
31 Oct, 00:57 UTC	89%
30 Oct, 23:02 UTC	90%
30 Oct, 22:54 UTC	90%
30 Oct, 22:26 UTC	91%
30 Oct, 21:46 UTC	90%
30 Oct, 21:09 UTC	90%
30 Oct, 20:51 UTC	91%
30 Oct, 20:29 UTC	90%
30 Oct, 19:53 UTC	92%
30 Oct, 18:58 UTC	90%
30 Oct, 14:38 UTC	93%
30 Oct, 11:31 UTC	94%
30 Oct, 11:24 UTC	95%
30 Oct, 09:58 UTC	94%
30 Oct, 09:29 UTC	94%
30 Oct, 07:02 UTC	94%
30 Oct, 04:08 UTC	95%
30 Oct, 02:55 UTC	96%
29 Oct, 23:40 UTC	95%
29 Oct, 22:57 UTC	94%
29 Oct, 22:24 UTC	95%
29 Oct, 19:15 UTC	94%
29 Oct, 18:13 UTC	94%
29 Oct, 16:50 UTC	95%
29 Oct, 14:40 UTC	96%
29 Oct, 13:07 UTC	95%
29 Oct, 09:12 UTC	96%
29 Oct, 07:32 UTC	95%
29 Oct, 05:36 UTC	95%
29 Oct, 02:20 UTC	95%
28 Oct, 15:19 UTC	95%
28 Oct, 14:56 UTC	95%
28 Oct, 14:14 UTC	95%
28 Oct, 12:12 UTC	96%
28 Oct, 04:35 UTC	95%
28 Oct, 04:03 UTC	96%
28 Oct, 03:56 UTC	94%
28 Oct, 00:53 UTC	95%
28 Oct, 00:07 UTC	95%
27 Oct, 22:30 UTC	96%
27 Oct, 22:23 UTC	95%
27 Oct, 16:15 UTC	95%
27 Oct, 12:00 UTC	94%
27 Oct, 00:17 UTC	95%
26 Oct, 23:24 UTC	95%
26 Oct, 22:56 UTC	96%
26 Oct, 22:08 UTC	95%
26 Oct, 21:25 UTC	94%
26 Oct, 20:56 UTC	95%
26 Oct, 19:23 UTC	94%
26 Oct, 18:19 UTC	94%
26 Oct, 15:02 UTC	94%
26 Oct, 14:47 UTC	93%
26 Oct, 14:23 UTC	94%
26 Oct, 13:47 UTC	94%
26 Oct, 13:13 UTC	94%
26 Oct, 12:39 UTC	92%
26 Oct, 12:25 UTC	90%
26 Oct, 11:49 UTC	84%
26 Oct, 11:16 UTC	81%
26 Oct, 10:56 UTC	81%
26 Oct, 07:06 UTC	82%
26 Oct, 06:51 UTC	82%
26 Oct, 05:53 UTC	82%
26 Oct, 03:41 UTC	82%
26 Oct, 03:06 UTC	81%
26 Oct, 02:41 UTC	81%
26 Oct, 01:52 UTC	82%
26 Oct, 01:12 UTC	82%
26 Oct, 00:54 UTC	81%
25 Oct, 23:35 UTC	80%
25 Oct, 23:25 UTC	79%
25 Oct, 22:37 UTC	80%
25 Oct, 22:13 UTC	79%
25 Oct, 20:40 UTC	74%
25 Oct, 20:26 UTC	73%
25 Oct, 19:18 UTC	75%
25 Oct, 18:11 UTC	75%
25 Oct, 17:42 UTC	75%
25 Oct, 17:10 UTC	76%
25 Oct, 16:56 UTC	77%
25 Oct, 16:21 UTC	77%
25 Oct, 15:03 UTC	77%
25 Oct, 14:27 UTC	76%
25 Oct, 13:56 UTC	76%
25 Oct, 13:25 UTC	76%
25 Oct, 12:56 UTC	77%
25 Oct, 12:10 UTC	77%
25 Oct, 11:28 UTC	76%
25 Oct, 10:06 UTC	75%
25 Oct, 09:58 UTC	76%
25 Oct, 09:28 UTC	78%
25 Oct, 05:17 UTC	78%
25 Oct, 04:49 UTC	77%
25 Oct, 03:30 UTC	79%
25 Oct, 02:49 UTC	78%
25 Oct, 02:21 UTC	80%
24 Oct, 22:51 UTC	79%
24 Oct, 21:44 UTC	78%
24 Oct, 21:19 UTC	77%
24 Oct, 18:08 UTC	77%
24 Oct, 17:54 UTC	79%
24 Oct, 13:00 UTC	79%
24 Oct, 09:57 UTC	81%
24 Oct, 08:02 UTC	83%
24 Oct, 06:58 UTC	82%
24 Oct, 03:30 UTC	83%
24 Oct, 01:38 UTC	82%
24 Oct, 01:13 UTC	81%
24 Oct, 00:59 UTC	82%
23 Oct, 23:36 UTC	81%
23 Oct, 23:17 UTC	82%
23 Oct, 22:35 UTC	83%
23 Oct, 22:21 UTC	82%
23 Oct, 21:55 UTC	82%
23 Oct, 20:42 UTC	82%
23 Oct, 18:00 UTC	83%
23 Oct, 17:31 UTC	85%
23 Oct, 17:24 UTC	84%
23 Oct, 16:50 UTC	82%
23 Oct, 16:29 UTC	82%
23 Oct, 15:41 UTC	82%
23 Oct, 15:27 UTC	82%
23 Oct, 14:32 UTC	83%
23 Oct, 14:01 UTC	83%
23 Oct, 13:52 UTC	82%
23 Oct, 11:13 UTC	85%
23 Oct, 00:55 UTC	85%
23 Oct, 00:28 UTC	85%
22 Oct, 23:48 UTC	85%
22 Oct, 22:53 UTC	86%
22 Oct, 22:25 UTC	85%
22 Oct, 21:23 UTC	85%
22 Oct, 20:40 UTC	85%
22 Oct, 20:13 UTC	87%
22 Oct, 19:44 UTC	87%
22 Oct, 19:23 UTC	86%
22 Oct, 18:56 UTC	87%
22 Oct, 18:05 UTC	88%
22 Oct, 17:24 UTC	88%
22 Oct, 16:47 UTC	88%
22 Oct, 13:56 UTC	86%
22 Oct, 12:00 UTC	87%
22 Oct, 11:53 UTC	87%
22 Oct, 11:22 UTC	87%
22 Oct, 10:31 UTC	87%
22 Oct, 10:09 UTC	87%
22 Oct, 08:53 UTC	86%
22 Oct, 08:01 UTC	86%
22 Oct, 07:08 UTC	86%
22 Oct, 06:53 UTC	85%
22 Oct, 06:00 UTC	86%
22 Oct, 05:53 UTC	87%
22 Oct, 05:18 UTC	86%
22 Oct, 04:55 UTC	86%
22 Oct, 03:02 UTC	88%
22 Oct, 02:47 UTC	87%
22 Oct, 01:51 UTC	86%
22 Oct, 01:29 UTC	86%
22 Oct, 00:52 UTC	86%
21 Oct, 23:42 UTC	86%
21 Oct, 23:28 UTC	86%
21 Oct, 22:53 UTC	87%
21 Oct, 22:24 UTC	86%
21 Oct, 21:55 UTC	85%
21 Oct, 21:04 UTC	84%
21 Oct, 20:57 UTC	83%
21 Oct, 20:27 UTC	84%
21 Oct, 19:10 UTC	83%
21 Oct, 18:12 UTC	80%
21 Oct, 16:51 UTC	81%
21 Oct, 15:17 UTC	80%
21 Oct, 14:32 UTC	79%
21 Oct, 13:26 UTC	79%
21 Oct, 12:49 UTC	78%
21 Oct, 12:21 UTC	79%
21 Oct, 09:33 UTC	78%
21 Oct, 08:03 UTC	77%
21 Oct, 07:56 UTC	78%
21 Oct, 05:13 UTC	77%
21 Oct, 04:52 UTC	77%
21 Oct, 01:31 UTC	77%
21 Oct, 00:56 UTC	78%
21 Oct, 00:22 UTC	79%
20 Oct, 23:49 UTC	79%
20 Oct, 19:41 UTC	78%
20 Oct, 18:24 UTC	77%
20 Oct, 05:47 UTC	76%
18 Oct, 16:24 UTC	73%
18 Oct, 12:41 UTC	73%
18 Oct, 12:00 UTC	72%
18 Oct, 08:27 UTC	73%
18 Oct, 07:55 UTC	72%
18 Oct, 06:30 UTC	73%
18 Oct, 06:09 UTC	72%
18 Oct, 05:04 UTC	73%
18 Oct, 04:50 UTC	72%
17 Oct, 21:52 UTC	72%
17 Oct, 21:25 UTC	72%
17 Oct, 20:57 UTC	72%
17 Oct, 19:58 UTC	73%
17 Oct, 19:25 UTC	72%
17 Oct, 07:54 UTC	72%
17 Oct, 07:08 UTC	72%
17 Oct, 06:47 UTC	72%
17 Oct, 06:14 UTC	73%
17 Oct, 05:55 UTC	72%
17 Oct, 03:30 UTC	72%
17 Oct, 03:16 UTC	72%
17 Oct, 02:11 UTC	72%
17 Oct, 01:57 UTC	72%
17 Oct, 01:23 UTC	71%
17 Oct, 00:17 UTC	72%
16 Oct, 22:55 UTC	72%
16 Oct, 17:22 UTC	70%
16 Oct, 16:53 UTC	63%
16 Oct, 16:06 UTC	63%
16 Oct, 15:52 UTC	65%
16 Oct, 14:23 UTC	73%
16 Oct, 09:19 UTC	74%
16 Oct, 08:13 UTC	73%
16 Oct, 07:46 UTC	72%
16 Oct, 03:02 UTC	73%
16 Oct, 02:55 UTC	74%
16 Oct, 01:35 UTC	73%
16 Oct, 01:02 UTC	73%
15 Oct, 23:42 UTC	72%
15 Oct, 22:29 UTC	72%
15 Oct, 21:34 UTC	73%
15 Oct, 21:27 UTC	73%
15 Oct, 13:59 UTC	74%
15 Oct, 13:10 UTC	75%
15 Oct, 11:34 UTC	74%
15 Oct, 11:27 UTC	74%
15 Oct, 10:45 UTC	74%
15 Oct, 10:13 UTC	74%
15 Oct, 09:43 UTC	74%
15 Oct, 08:49 UTC	74%
15 Oct, 08:29 UTC	74%
15 Oct, 07:55 UTC	74%
15 Oct, 05:16 UTC	75%
15 Oct, 04:49 UTC	75%
15 Oct, 03:36 UTC	76%
15 Oct, 03:10 UTC	75%
15 Oct, 02:36 UTC	74%
15 Oct, 02:29 UTC	73%
14 Oct, 22:38 UTC	74%
14 Oct, 20:38 UTC	73%
14 Oct, 20:11 UTC	73%
14 Oct, 19:50 UTC	73%
14 Oct, 18:34 UTC	73%
14 Oct, 18:27 UTC	74%
14 Oct, 17:10 UTC	75%
14 Oct, 15:06 UTC	74%
13 Oct, 22:38 UTC	71%
13 Oct, 22:11 UTC	70%
13 Oct, 21:10 UTC	70%
13 Oct, 20:56 UTC	69%
13 Oct, 20:20 UTC	68%
13 Oct, 19:04 UTC	67%
13 Oct, 18:36 UTC	67%
13 Oct, 18:22 UTC	68%
13 Oct, 17:56 UTC	69%
13 Oct, 17:28 UTC	70%
13 Oct, 14:42 UTC	68%
13 Oct, 14:13 UTC	67%
13 Oct, 13:50 UTC	67%
13 Oct, 13:18 UTC	68%
13 Oct, 12:01 UTC	68%
13 Oct, 11:34 UTC	68%
13 Oct, 07:15 UTC	69%
13 Oct, 05:01 UTC	69%
13 Oct, 04:41 UTC	68%
13 Oct, 02:07 UTC	72%
13 Oct, 00:21 UTC	73%
12 Oct, 23:47 UTC	71%
12 Oct, 23:08 UTC	70%
12 Oct, 20:50 UTC	69%
12 Oct, 19:21 UTC	68%
12 Oct, 18:54 UTC	69%
12 Oct, 17:36 UTC	69%
12 Oct, 15:54 UTC	70%
12 Oct, 12:43 UTC	71%
12 Oct, 12:18 UTC	71%
12 Oct, 11:39 UTC	72%
12 Oct, 11:13 UTC	74%
12 Oct, 07:22 UTC	73%
12 Oct, 05:18 UTC	73%
12 Oct, 04:35 UTC	74%
12 Oct, 04:16 UTC	73%
12 Oct, 03:12 UTC	73%
12 Oct, 00:15 UTC	75%
11 Oct, 23:17 UTC	74%
11 Oct, 22:58 UTC	74%
11 Oct, 19:52 UTC	75%
11 Oct, 19:24 UTC	74%
11 Oct, 18:17 UTC	75%
11 Oct, 17:48 UTC	76%
11 Oct, 16:32 UTC	77%
11 Oct, 16:23 UTC	76%
11 Oct, 15:40 UTC	77%
11 Oct, 13:51 UTC	76%
11 Oct, 12:55 UTC	76%
11 Oct, 12:05 UTC	76%
11 Oct, 10:27 UTC	77%
11 Oct, 09:15 UTC	76%
11 Oct, 04:53 UTC	77%
11 Oct, 04:16 UTC	74%
11 Oct, 03:26 UTC	74%
11 Oct, 01:40 UTC	77%
10 Oct, 21:19 UTC	76%
10 Oct, 19:56 UTC	77%
10 Oct, 18:14 UTC	77%
10 Oct, 14:13 UTC	78%
10 Oct, 12:00 UTC	76%
10 Oct, 11:41 UTC	77%
10 Oct, 10:51 UTC	76%
10 Oct, 09:48 UTC	77%
10 Oct, 09:15 UTC	76%
10 Oct, 08:04 UTC	77%
10 Oct, 07:17 UTC	76%
10 Oct, 06:51 UTC	77%
10 Oct, 02:06 UTC	76%
10 Oct, 01:20 UTC	77%
9 Oct, 23:32 UTC	76%
9 Oct, 22:58 UTC	77%
9 Oct, 21:09 UTC	76%
9 Oct, 20:55 UTC	77%
9 Oct, 20:27 UTC	76%
9 Oct, 19:10 UTC	77%
9 Oct, 12:31 UTC	78%
9 Oct, 09:27 UTC	78%
9 Oct, 08:35 UTC	78%
9 Oct, 08:22 UTC	78%
9 Oct, 06:56 UTC	78%
9 Oct, 06:18 UTC	77%
9 Oct, 04:33 UTC	78%
9 Oct, 04:15 UTC	78%
9 Oct, 03:20 UTC	78%
9 Oct, 02:28 UTC	78%
9 Oct, 01:36 UTC	79%
8 Oct, 14:44 UTC	82%
8 Oct, 11:25 UTC	83%
8 Oct, 10:52 UTC	82%
8 Oct, 09:59 UTC	82%
8 Oct, 08:04 UTC	83%
8 Oct, 07:58 UTC	82%
8 Oct, 06:18 UTC	82%
8 Oct, 05:10 UTC	83%
8 Oct, 03:48 UTC	82%
8 Oct, 02:54 UTC	82%
8 Oct, 01:42 UTC	83%
8 Oct, 01:22 UTC	83%
7 Oct, 22:51 UTC	84%
7 Oct, 07:20 UTC	85%
6 Oct, 20:30 UTC	84%
6 Oct, 17:53 UTC	84%
6 Oct, 14:37 UTC	82%
6 Oct, 09:25 UTC	82%
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6 Oct, 03:42 UTC	83%
6 Oct, 00:03 UTC	84%
5 Oct, 23:42 UTC	84%
5 Oct, 23:23 UTC	84%
5 Oct, 14:53 UTC	83%
5 Oct, 10:34 UTC	83%
5 Oct, 10:21 UTC	84%
5 Oct, 09:21 UTC	83%
5 Oct, 06:36 UTC	84%
5 Oct, 06:09 UTC	84%
5 Oct, 05:56 UTC	84%
5 Oct, 01:54 UTC	83%
4 Oct, 21:44 UTC	84%
4 Oct, 21:11 UTC	83%
4 Oct, 20:58 UTC	84%
4 Oct, 20:25 UTC	84%
4 Oct, 19:52 UTC	84%
4 Oct, 19:28 UTC	84%
4 Oct, 18:00 UTC	85%
4 Oct, 17:54 UTC	84%
4 Oct, 16:18 UTC	84%
4 Oct, 15:58 UTC	85%
4 Oct, 14:00 UTC	82%
4 Oct, 13:05 UTC	83%
4 Oct, 12:58 UTC	82%
4 Oct, 09:15 UTC	82%
4 Oct, 02:23 UTC	84%
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4 Oct, 01:20 UTC	84%
3 Oct, 10:55 UTC	82%
3 Oct, 10:29 UTC	82%
3 Oct, 07:38 UTC	83%
3 Oct, 06:19 UTC	82%
3 Oct, 05:03 UTC	82%
3 Oct, 04:38 UTC	83%
3 Oct, 03:57 UTC	82%
2 Oct, 13:55 UTC	83%
1 Oct, 22:33 UTC	82%
1 Oct, 22:26 UTC	82%
1 Oct, 21:03 UTC	82%
1 Oct, 20:22 UTC	82%
1 Oct, 19:55 UTC	82%
1 Oct, 19:27 UTC	83%
1 Oct, 18:50 UTC	82%
1 Oct, 18:05 UTC	83%
1 Oct, 17:57 UTC	85%
1 Oct, 15:27 UTC	79%
1 Oct, 12:24 UTC	78%
1 Oct, 08:11 UTC	78%
1 Oct, 06:36 UTC	78%
1 Oct, 03:19 UTC	81%
30 Sept, 21:08 UTC	82%
30 Sept, 20:46 UTC	83%
30 Sept, 16:09 UTC	81%
30 Sept, 13:00 UTC	83%
30 Sept, 12:53 UTC	83%
30 Sept, 12:16 UTC	83%
30 Sept, 11:47 UTC	82%
30 Sept, 11:11 UTC	82%
30 Sept, 08:57 UTC	81%
30 Sept, 07:29 UTC	82%
30 Sept, 05:38 UTC	83%
30 Sept, 04:13 UTC	82%
30 Sept, 03:34 UTC	83%
30 Sept, 01:30 UTC	82%
29 Sept, 22:53 UTC	83%
29 Sept, 21:17 UTC	84%
29 Sept, 20:11 UTC	83%
29 Sept, 17:25 UTC	82%
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29 Sept, 15:59 UTC	81%
29 Sept, 15:16 UTC	81%
29 Sept, 14:36 UTC	82%
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29 Sept, 13:58 UTC	83%
29 Sept, 13:27 UTC	83%
29 Sept, 12:18 UTC	85%
29 Sept, 11:56 UTC	84%
29 Sept, 10:59 UTC	83%
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28 Sept, 12:40 UTC	75%
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28 Sept, 10:35 UTC	75%
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27 Sept, 15:45 UTC	76%
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27 Sept, 00:34 UTC	75%
26 Sept, 23:42 UTC	74%
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26 Sept, 18:34 UTC	75%
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26 Sept, 16:48 UTC	75%
26 Sept, 15:15 UTC	77%
25 Sept, 02:33 UTC	78%
24 Sept, 21:25 UTC	76%
24 Sept, 19:03 UTC	77%
24 Sept, 03:32 UTC	76%
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23 Sept, 16:49 UTC	77%
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22 Sept, 19:49 UTC	82%
22 Sept, 14:57 UTC	83%
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21 Sept, 18:05 UTC	79%
21 Sept, 08:37 UTC	79%
21 Sept, 06:57 UTC	78%
21 Sept, 06:19 UTC	77%
21 Sept, 05:55 UTC	78%
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21 Sept, 01:19 UTC	75%
21 Sept, 00:07 UTC	74%
20 Sept, 22:05 UTC	73%
20 Sept, 20:39 UTC	74%
20 Sept, 18:52 UTC	76%
20 Sept, 15:28 UTC	72%
20 Sept, 14:15 UTC	73%
20 Sept, 09:41 UTC	72%
20 Sept, 09:03 UTC	74%
20 Sept, 07:53 UTC	74%
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20 Sept, 03:00 UTC	74%
20 Sept, 02:41 UTC	75%
20 Sept, 01:31 UTC	74%
20 Sept, 01:11 UTC	76%
20 Sept, 00:21 UTC	75%
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18 Sept, 04:59 UTC	85%
17 Sept, 17:07 UTC	88%
17 Sept, 11:23 UTC	86%
17 Sept, 06:55 UTC	86%
16 Sept, 21:45 UTC	85%
16 Sept, 10:47 UTC	84%
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16 Sept, 03:38 UTC	87%
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14 Sept, 11:04 UTC	85%
14 Sept, 08:06 UTC	84%
14 Sept, 06:46 UTC	85%
14 Sept, 05:42 UTC	85%
14 Sept, 03:42 UTC	86%
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14 Sept, 01:56 UTC	86%
14 Sept, 00:07 UTC	87%
13 Sept, 23:51 UTC	86%
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13 Sept, 22:46 UTC	86%
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13 Sept, 20:17 UTC	85%
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13 Sept, 12:45 UTC	84%
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13 Sept, 06:19 UTC	87%
13 Sept, 05:01 UTC	89%
13 Sept, 04:34 UTC	90%
13 Sept, 02:07 UTC	90%
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12 Sept, 20:30 UTC	91%
12 Sept, 19:52 UTC	92%
12 Sept, 18:39 UTC	91%
11 Sept, 18:39 UTC	91%

The story so far

15 publishers have covered this in 45 articles since 29 Sept 2026. theinformation.com published first, on 29 September at 03:21 UTC; Bloomberg Technology followed 4h 50m later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 9 October at 10:20 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), theinformation.com, Fortune, Quartz, Latest from Tom's Hardware, Inc., All Content from Business Insider, Crunchbase News, decrypt.co, Protos, Hacker News and 3 more, all listed under Sources below.

3 prediction markets price this story:

Anthropic IPO before 2027? — the market puts it at 90%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if Anthropic completes its first public stock sale on a recognized exchange by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The No outcome applies if the company does not meet this deadline or if it merges, gets acquired, or ceases to exist before then. Readers often mistake the linked news story about AI collusion for the resolution event, but only an actual IPO counts toward the result.
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? — resolved “No” on 1 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Anthropic shares are listed on a public exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2026. It resolves to No if the company does not meet this deadline or if it is acquired by another public company. Readers often mistake an announcement of intent or a target date for the actual listing event.
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? — the market puts it at 78%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The Yes outcome occurs if Anthropic shares begin regular-way trading on a public exchange during November 2026 ET. The No outcome applies if trading starts in any other month or does not happen by December 31, 2027. Readers often mistake IPO announcements or filings for the actual event; only the first day of open trading counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Anthropic IPO before 2027? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

29 Sept, 03:21theinformation.com Anthropic’s Confidential Filing Reveals Customer Concentration75%
29 Sept, 08:11Bloomberg Technology Anthropic Flags ‘Catastrophic’ Risks in IPO Filing: Reuters83%▲8 points since the previous source
29 Sept, 10:03Fortune Anthropic’s $2 trillion IPO prospectus has leaked—here’s a snapshot of its income statements84%▲1 points since the previous source
29 Sept, 12:10Quartz Anthropic's IPO prospectus reveals 12-fold revenue surge and an $8 billion operating loss84%
29 Sept, 13:30Latest from Tom's Hardware Anthropic lists ‘existential risks to humanity’ as one of its risk factors in IPO prospectus83%▼1 points since the previous source
29 Sept, 15:24theinformation.com Anthropic Discloses up to $84.5 Billion in SpaceX Compute Agreements81%▼2 points since the previous source
29 Sept, 16:04Inc.A Quarter of Anthropic’s Revenue Comes From 2 Customers. Experts Say the Real Test Comes Next81%
29 Sept, 17:18All Content from Business Insider What smart people are saying about Anthropic's leaked IPO prospectus numbers82%▲1 points since the previous source
29 Sept, 18:42Crunchbase News Oura Hits Pause On IPO While Anthropic’s Prospectus Reveals The Cost Of Its AI Ambitions82%
29 Sept, 20:06decrypt.co Anthropic Lost $42 Billion Last Year. It Wants to Go Public at $2 Trillion82%
Show 35 later sources
1. 30 Sept, 04:00News Feed Is Anthropic losing its Oura?83%▲1 points since the previous source
2. 30 Sept, 10:53Protos Anthropic’s IPO doubles the price of its own books81%▼1 points since the previous source
3. 30 Sept, 13:00theinformation.com Wall Street and Silicon Valley Split Over AI’s Price Tag83%▲1 points since the previous source
4. 30 Sept, 16:37Bloomberg Technology Ackman Says Markets Are Narrowly Focused on Big IPOs81%▼1 points since the previous source
5. 30 Sept, 20:44Hacker News Anthropic's IPO Prospectus Is a Fucking Doozy81%
6. 1 Oct, 12:41Quartz Broadcom is offering to lend Anthropic up to $42 billion to finance its AI chip buildout78%▼3 points since the previous source
7. 1 Oct, 13:00Bloomberg Markets SK Hynix Mega-Listing Maintains US IPO Momentum in Third Quarter78%
8. 1 Oct, 17:27Bloomberg Markets Anthropic Said to Target Mega-IPO Before Thanksgiving Holiday79%▲1 points since the previous source
9. 1 Oct, 20:14Bloomberg Technology Anthropic Said to Plan Pre-IPO Investor Day as Listing Nears82%▲3 points since the previous source
10. 1 Oct, 22:19Bloomberg.com US May Send More Troops to Mideast, Anthropic IPO Target Date82%
11. 1 Oct, 23:02Bloomberg.com US Moving More Troops to Mideast, Anthropic Eyes November IPO82%
12. 1 Oct, 23:47Bloomberg.com US Sending More Troops to Mideast, Anthropic November IPO Target82%
13. 2 Oct, 00:40Bloomberg Markets Anthropic Said to Target Mega-IPO Before Thanksgiving Holiday82%
14. 2 Oct, 00:44Bloomberg.com US Deploys More Troops to Mideast, Anthropic IPO Target Date82%
15. 2 Oct, 01:42Bloomberg.com US Weighs Sending 3rd Carrier to Mideast, Anthropic Eyes Nov IPO82%
16. 2 Oct, 02:43Bloomberg.com US May Add Carrier to Mideast, Anthropic November IPO Target82%
17. 2 Oct, 03:42Bloomberg.com US to Beef Up Mideast Deployment, Anthropic November IPO Aim82%
18. 2 Oct, 11:20Quartz Anthropic is targeting a pre-Thanksgiving IPO at up to a $2 trillion valuation82%
19. 2 Oct, 12:05Bloomberg Markets Stocks Climb Ahead of Payrolls Report, Anthropic Eyes November IPO82%
20. 2 Oct, 15:21News Feed Why does Anthropic’s IPO feel so weird?83%▲1 points since the previous source
21. 4 Oct, 04:01News Feed Wall Street’s IPO fervour cools on tepid demand and valuation worries84%▲2 points since the previous source
22. 4 Oct, 15:00theinformation.com Anthropic’s Big Charity Bill for Shareholders82%▼2 points since the previous source
23. 5 Oct, 08:51Times of India Michael Burry urges Wall Street to block OpenAI, Anthropic IPOs, warns of ‘trillions’84%▲2 points since the previous source
24. 5 Oct, 12:27www.theregister.com Anthropic says its IPO could herald the end of the world as we know it83%▼1 points since the previous source
25. 5 Oct, 13:33Times of India Anthropic admits to investors that the US govt is a 'problem': What the company said83%
26. 5 Oct, 16:52Bloomberg Technology Anthropic Can Keep Creating Value After IPO: Fanari83%
27. 6 Oct, 13:30Quartz Anthropic's IPO filing shows CEO Dario Amodei earned $18 million last year82%▼1 points since the previous source
28. 7 Oct, 12:29Latest articles Japanese firm confirms it sold books to Anthropic85%▲3 points since the previous source
29. 7 Oct, 16:00Bloomberg Markets Anthropic, OpenAI Clouding Other IPO Prospects: Ruder85%
30. 7 Oct, 18:02Bloomberg Technology BofA Sees Strong Demand for OpenAI, Anthropic IPOs85%
31. 8 Oct, 03:19All Content from Business Insider Anthropic's secret weapon is its CEO's charm, one of its earliest investors says82%▼3 points since the previous source
32. 8 Oct, 05:56All Content from Business Insider A tech crowd was polled on buying Anthropic shares at a $3 trillion valuation. Only 3 hands went up.83%▲1 points since the previous source
33. 8 Oct, 12:00Bloomberg Markets Anthropic IPO Investors Struggle to Put a Price on Rogue AI Risk83%
34. 9 Oct, 00:06All Content from Business Insider One of Anthropic's earliest backers shares where he's investing now, and offers advice to founders82%
35. 9 Oct, 10:20Bloomberg Markets Anthropic IPO Forces Question of How to Price Rogue AI Risk78%▼4 points since the previous source
NowCurrent odds90%

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Polymarket Anthropic IPO before 2027? 90% +1 $2k 24hends 1 Jan 2027
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Polymarket Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? 78% +3 $2k 24hends 1 Jan 2028
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