Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$10k
Total volume$1.5M
Liquidity$126k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 28 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 01:32 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 22:08 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 17:13 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 14:03 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 12:39 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 10:37 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Anthropic shares are listed on a public exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2026. It resolves to No if the company does not meet this deadline or if it is acquired by another public company. Readers often mistake an announcement of intent or a target date for the actual listing event.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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