Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Why it moved: +15 points at 21:16 UTC, after News Feed: Anthropic to press ahead with IPO targeting $1.5tn valuation — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 88% |
| 7 Nov, 07:00 UTC | 88% |
| 7 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 89% |
| 7 Nov, 01:55 UTC | 89% |
| 7 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 89% |
| 7 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 90% |
| 6 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 92% |
| 6 Nov, 22:28 UTC | 92% |
| 6 Nov, 21:59 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Nov, 21:16 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Nov, 19:47 UTC | 72% |
| 6 Nov, 18:41 UTC | 73% |
| 6 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 73% |
| 6 Nov, 17:12 UTC | 72% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 71% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 72% |
| 6 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 73% |
| 6 Nov, 12:15 UTC | 73% |
| 6 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 71% |
| 6 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 71% |
| 6 Nov, 10:42 UTC | 71% |
| 6 Nov, 10:20 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Nov, 09:09 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Nov, 08:48 UTC | 69% |
| 6 Nov, 08:06 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Nov, 07:45 UTC | 68% |
| 6 Nov, 07:03 UTC | 68% |
| 6 Nov, 05:18 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Nov, 04:49 UTC | 69% |
| 6 Nov, 04:13 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Nov, 03:58 UTC | 69% |
| 6 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Nov, 02:36 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Nov, 02:14 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Nov, 01:45 UTC | 71% |
| 6 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 70% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 73% |
| 6 Nov, 00:27 UTC | 72% |
| 5 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 72% |
| 5 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 75% |
| 5 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 77% |
| 5 Nov, 22:04 UTC | 77% |
| 5 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 77% |
| 5 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 73% |
| 5 Nov, 20:49 UTC | 71% |
| 5 Nov, 20:20 UTC | 69% |
| 5 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 69% |
| 5 Nov, 18:20 UTC | 76% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 78% |
| 5 Nov, 16:36 UTC | 78% |
| 5 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 77% |
| 5 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 82% |
| 5 Nov, 15:25 UTC | 83% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 91% |
| 5 Nov, 00:44 UTC | 90% |
| 5 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 89% |
| 4 Nov, 22:20 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 21:42 UTC | 89% |
| 4 Nov, 21:18 UTC | 89% |
| 4 Nov, 20:45 UTC | 89% |
| 4 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 89% |
| 4 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 88% |
| 4 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 88% |
| 4 Nov, 15:43 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 84% |
| 4 Nov, 14:44 UTC | 83% |
| 4 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 13:09 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 10:29 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 09:50 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 09:28 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 08:45 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 93% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 93% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 93% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 92% |
| 4 Nov, 01:42 UTC | 93% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 93% |
| 3 Nov, 23:03 UTC | 93% |
| 3 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 92% |
| 3 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 93% |
| 3 Nov, 18:06 UTC | 92% |
| 3 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 92% |
| 3 Nov, 17:17 UTC | 92% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 92% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 90% |
| 3 Nov, 12:14 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Nov, 03:40 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 93% |
| 1 Nov, 20:07 UTC | 92% |
| 1 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 92% |
| 1 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 16:36 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 89% |
| 1 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 09:15 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 06:01 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 05:40 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 03:12 UTC | 89% |
| 1 Nov, 00:07 UTC | 88% |
| 31 Oct, 21:39 UTC | 87% |
| 31 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 86% |
| 31 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 87% |
| 31 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 86% |
| 31 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 87% |
| 31 Oct, 12:40 UTC | 88% |
| 31 Oct, 12:11 UTC | 89% |
| 31 Oct, 11:42 UTC | 90% |
| 31 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 91% |
| 31 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 90% |
| 31 Oct, 07:04 UTC | 90% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Anthropic completes its first public stock sale on a recognized exchange by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The No outcome applies if the company does not meet this deadline or if it merges, gets acquired, or ceases to exist before then. Readers often mistake the linked news story about AI collusion for the resolution event, but only an actual IPO counts toward the result.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 88%
- No 12%
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