Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
Implied probability 61%−8
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$73k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 61% |
| 10 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Oct, 13:28 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 11:41 UTC | 66% |
| 10 Oct, 11:18 UTC | 66% |
| 10 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 66% |
| 10 Oct, 09:08 UTC | 67% |
| 10 Oct, 08:11 UTC | 67% |
| 10 Oct, 06:06 UTC | 67% |
| 10 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 67% |
| 10 Oct, 03:13 UTC | 67% |
| 10 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 67% |
| 10 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 67% |
| 10 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 67% |
| 10 Oct, 00:39 UTC | 67% |
| 9 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 67% |
| 9 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 67% |
| 9 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 67% |
| 9 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 67% |
| 9 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 67% |
| 9 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 67% |
| 9 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 68% |
| 9 Oct, 17:25 UTC | 69% |
| 9 Oct, 16:30 UTC | 69% |
| 9 Oct, 14:00 UTC | 69% |
| 9 Oct, 12:45 UTC | 69% |
| 9 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 69% |
| 9 Oct, 08:35 UTC | 69% |
| 9 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 69% |
| 9 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 69% |
| 9 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 69% |
| 9 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 69% |
| 9 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 69% |
| 9 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 69% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Anthropic shares begin regular-way trading on a public exchange during November 2026 ET. The No outcome applies if trading starts in any other month or does not happen by December 31, 2027. Readers often mistake IPO announcements or filings for the actual event; only the first day of open trading counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 61%
- No 39%
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