A24's 'Primetime' Opens to $19.2 Million, Proving Robert Pattinson's Box Office Power

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 27 Sept 2026. IndieWire published first, on 27 September at 14:27 UTC; Variety followed 23h 23m later. The most recent article, from Variety, appeared on 28 September at 13:50 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), IndieWire.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Robert Pattinson — the market puts it at 46%, with $295 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Robert Pattinson receives a nomination for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about his new film as relevant to the resolution, but only Oscar nominations count.
• Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? — resolved “Yes” on 28 Sept 2026.
• Robert Pattinson — the market puts it at 11%, with $26 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Robert Pattinson wins Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake other awards or nominations for the decisive factor, but only this particular Oscar matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.